Casarano vs AZ Picerno
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 14 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza • ☀️ 14.1°C, 13 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 47.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 66.6% · No 33.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 65.9% · Under 34.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.2% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Casarano · Home
Casarano's recent run is thin on goals: 3 scored across five matches, with three failures to score, yet the model gives them 1.94 expected goals here. The latest H2H at home ended 2-2, showing they can score against this opponent.
AZ Picerno · Away
AZ Picerno have scored 8 in five but conceded 8, including the 2-1 win at Cavese. They lost the earlier H2H 1-2 when hosting Casarano, so the away side has already been beaten by this opponent.
Casarano's H2H Edge Holds
The two meetings point one way: Casarano won 1-2 away, then drew 2-2 at home, so they have avoided defeat in both. Casarano's 3 goals in five matches is modest, but Picerno's 8 conceded in five keeps the home attack live. The model's 1.94 home expected goals against 1.46 away supports a home edge rather than a rout. The evidence supports Casarano win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Casarano 1.94 – 1.46 AZ Picerno · expected total 3.40
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Casarano
AZ Picerno
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C
Casarano
AZ Picerno
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Casarano at home · AZ Picerno away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Casarano (home)
AZ Picerno (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AZ Picerno 0 wins · 1 draw · Casarano 1 win · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Casarano | 2–2 | AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| 13 Sep 2025 | AZ Picerno | 1–2 | Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
📈 Recent Form
Casarano
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Crotone | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Cavese | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 11/10 | Salernitana | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 03/10 | Sorrento | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/09 | SS Monopoli | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 19/09 | Savoia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 15/09 | Audace Cerignola | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 11/09 | Barletta | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Bari | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 28/08 | Giugliano | Home | 4–3 | W |
AZ Picerno
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cavese | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 26/10 | Salernitana | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Barletta | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/10 | Cosenza | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Potenza | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 26/09 | Audace Cerignola | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Team Altamura | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 15/09 | Catania | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 12/09 | Sorrento | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 07/09 | Inter U23 | Home | 4–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C
Casarano #15 · 14 pts · AZ Picerno #7 · 18 pts
Casarano
AZ Picerno
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Casarano
AZ Picerno
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws