Bari vs Foggia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 14 • Stadio San Nicola • ☀️ 10.4°C, 3 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 52.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 79.3% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 49.8% · Yes 50.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 52.6% · Over 47.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 11.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Bari · Home
Bari have drawn three of their last five, including 1-1 with Scafatese and a 0-0 with Crotone at home, while beating Giugliano 2-0. Their model expected goals of 1.63 for this fixture is the higher of the two sides.
Foggia · Away
Foggia have won three of five but lost both away matches in that run, 1-3 at Giugliano and a 2-0 win at Cosenza. They failed to score in none of those five, yet their model expected goals of 0.94 is the lower figure.
Bari's home edge over Foggia
The latest head-to-head, a 2-2 draw in February 2022, followed a 1-1 in October 2021 and a 3-1 Bari home win in May 2021, so this pairing has produced goals and tight margins. Bari's recent home record of two clean sheets in five and a single failure to score supports a low-scoring home lean. Foggia's away defeats this run both came by two-goal margins, underlining the travel risk. The evidence supports Bari win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Bari 1.63 – 0.94 Foggia · expected total 2.57
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Bari
Foggia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C
Bari
Foggia
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Bari at home · Foggia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Bari (home)
Foggia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bari 3 wins · 3 draws · Foggia 1 win · avg 2.1 goals · BTTS in 4 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2022 | Foggia | 2–2 | Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| 20 Oct 2021 | Bari | 1–1 | Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| 19 May 2021 | Bari | 3–1 | Foggia | Serie C - Girone A |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Bari | 1–0 | Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| 01 Nov 2020 | Foggia | 1–0 | Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| 21 Apr 2018 | Foggia | 1–1 | Bari | Serie B |
| 26 Nov 2017 | Bari | 1–0 | Foggia | Serie B |
📈 Recent Form
Bari
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Scafatese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Potenza | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 23/10 | Casertana | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Crotone | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Giugliano | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Salernitana | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Cosenza | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Sorrento | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 15/09 | Potenza | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 11/09 | Team Altamura | Away | 3–0 | W |
Foggia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Cavese | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/10 | Giugliano | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Potenza | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 04/10 | Cosenza | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Sorrento | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Inter U23 | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 15/09 | Savoia | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | SS Monopoli | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Audace Cerignola | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 29/08 | Salernitana | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C
Bari #2 · 22 pts · Foggia #14 · 14 pts
Bari
Foggia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Bari
Foggia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws