Salernitana vs Catania
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 14 • Stadio Arechi • 🌦 18.3°C, 3 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 32.1% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 67% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 45.1% · No 54.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 63.2% · Over 36.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 14.8% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Salernitana · Home
Salernitana have drawn three of their last five, including 1-1 with Savoia and 2-2 with Scafatese at home, and failed to score in two of those five. Their model expected goals of 1.06 for this fixture points to another modest attacking output.
Catania · Away
Catania won 6-0 against Giugliano and 3-0 at Team Altamura, yet lost 0-1 at Audace Cerignola and 1-2 at Potenza, so their away form is split. Their model expected goals of 1.1 is only marginally above Salernitana's.
Draws dominate Salernitana's run
The latest head-to-head, on 1 Mar 2026, finished 0-0 between these sides, and Salernitana's recent record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in five matches shows how often they share the points. Catania's away results swing sharply, from a 3-0 win at Team Altamura to a 0-1 loss at Audace Cerignola, which fits an even contest rather than a clear away edge. With model expected goals of 1.06 for Salernitana and 1.1 for Catania, a low-scoring stalemate is realistic. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Salernitana 1.06 – 1.10 Catania · expected total 2.17
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Salernitana
Catania
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C
Salernitana
Catania
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Salernitana at home · Catania away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Salernitana (home)
Catania (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Catania 1 win · 1 draw · Salernitana 0 wins · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar 2026 | Salernitana | 0–0 | Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Catania | 2–0 | Salernitana | Serie C - Girone C |
📈 Recent Form
Salernitana
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Savoia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 26/10 | AZ Picerno | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Scafatese | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 11/10 | Casarano | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 04/10 | Bari | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Crotone | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Giugliano | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Barletta | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 11/09 | Potenza | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 06/09 | Cavese | Home | 1–1 | D |
Catania
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Audace Cerignola | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Giugliano | Home | 6–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Potenza | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Team Altamura | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Crotone | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Casertana | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Barletta | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 15/09 | AZ Picerno | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Scafatese | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 07/09 | Cosenza | Home | 4–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C
Salernitana #12 · 15 pts · Catania #5 · 19 pts
Salernitana
Catania
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Salernitana
Catania
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws