Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone C

Giugliano vs Savoia

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 14:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 14 • Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro • ☀️ 20.3°C, 5 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available32.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available70.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available43.1% · No 56.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available65.3% · Over 34.7% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available14.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Giugliano · Home

Giugliano's five-match record shows 2 wins and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 13 conceded; three of those five matches saw them fail to score, including the 0-6 loss at Catania. Their home form is sharper, with 1-0 and 3-1 wins at home, though they also lost 0-4 at home to Inter U23.

Savoia · Away

Savoia's five-match record shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded. They drew 1-1 at Salernitana and 1-1 at home to Cosenza, and lost 0-4 at Audace Cerignola.

Giugliano's home wins meet Savoia's draws

Giugliano's 4 goals in five matches came entirely in two home wins, 1-0 over Casertana and 3-1 over Foggia, while their three defeats produced no goals. Savoia have drawn 2 of their last five, including 1-1 at Salernitana and 1-1 at home to Cosenza, and the latest head-to-head finished 1-0 to Savoia in 2019. The model gives Giugliano 1.13 expected goals and Savoia 0.96, a narrow gap that fits a low-scoring, evenly matched contest. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 01 Nov 2026 22:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Giugliano 1.13 – 0.96 Savoia · expected total 2.09

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Giugliano

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)2.40
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1309

Savoia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1325
GiuglianoSavoia
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.40
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
1
Elo strength rating
1309
1325

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Giugliano

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Savoia

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C

Giugliano

Worst defence (2.40 conceded/game, season) Worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6)

Savoia

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Giugliano at home · Savoia away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Giugliano (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–2L
W 4
D 1
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Savoia (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–3L
W 1
D 2
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Giugliano (home)Savoia (away)
W 4
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 2
L 3
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.80
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.77%
0–0
13.72%
2–2
3.64%
3–3
0.44%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Giugliano 0 wins · 0 draws · Savoia 1 win · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
24 Nov 2019 Savoia 1–0 Giugliano Serie D - Girone I

📈 Recent Form

Giugliano

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Casertana Home 1–0 W
25/10 Catania Away 0–6 L
19/10 Foggia Home 3–1 W
13/10 Inter U23 Home 0–4 L
10/10 Bari Away 0–2 L
03/10 Barletta Home 1–0 W
19/09 Salernitana Away 0–1 L
15/09 Cosenza Home 5–2 W
11/09 Audace Cerignola Away 0–4 L
05/09 Sorrento Home 0–2 L

Savoia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Salernitana Away 1–1 D
27/10 Sorrento Home 2–0 W
24/10 Cosenza Home 1–1 D
18/10 Audace Cerignola Away 0–4 L
10/10 Inter U23 Home 2–1 W
03/10 SS Monopoli Away 0–0 D
26/09 Cavese Away 2–4 L
19/09 Casarano Home 1–1 D
15/09 Foggia Away 0–0 D
12/09 Crotone Home 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C

Giugliano #16 · 13 pts ·  Savoia #18 · 12 pts

Giugliano

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–7L
W 4
D 1
L 7
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score6
Yellow cards21
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Savoia

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–6D–4L
W 2
D 6
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards28
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
GiuglianoSavoia
W 4
D 1
L 7
W 2
D 6
L 4
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
2.40
1.50
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
6
3
Yellow cards
21
28
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Giugliano

6
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
10
76-90
3
scored conceded

Savoia

3
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws