Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone B

Chievo vs Pro Palazzolo

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group B - 12 • 🌫 14.6°C, 3 km/h fog

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available63.9% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available86.4% —
BTTS No Current price not available50.4% · Yes 49.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available46.3% · Over 53.7% —
Correct Score 2-0 Current price not available11.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Chievo · Home

Chievo have scored in all five of their recent matches, including a 2-1 home win over Fiorenzuola (2-1) and a 4-0 away win at Leon (4-0). Their model expected goals of 2.01 for this fixture reflect that scoring output.

Pro Palazzolo · Away

Pro Palazzolo have failed to score in two of their last five, with away defeats of 0-2 at Pavonese (0-2) and 0-1 at Villa Valle (0-1). Their model expected goals of 0.83 is the lowest figure in this matchup.

Chievo's Scoring Edge at Home

The latest head-to-head, on 11 Jan 2025, ended 2-1 to Chievo at home (2-1), while the earlier meeting went 1-0 to Pro Palazzolo (1-0). Chievo have scored in all five recent matches, while Pro Palazzolo have failed to score in two of their last five. The model gives Chievo a 63.9% win probability and a 2-0 correct score at 11.9%, with Under 2.5 at 46.3%. The evidence supports Chievo win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Chievo 2.01 – 0.83 Pro Palazzolo · expected total 2.84

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Chievo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season7
Elo strength rating1383

Pro Palazzolo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1318
ChievoPro Palazzolo
Goals scored (season avg)
2.20
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
7
2
Elo strength rating
1383
1318

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Chievo

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Pro Palazzolo

Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone B

Chievo

Best attack (2.20 goals/game, season) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (4, season)

Pro Palazzolo

Worst Over 2.5 rate (17%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chievo at home · Pro Palazzolo away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Chievo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–1L
W 5
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Pro Palazzolo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Chievo (home)Pro Palazzolo (away)
W 5
L 1
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.40
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–0
11.91%
1–0
10.86%
2–1
9.83%
3–0
7.99%
3–1
6.6%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chievo 1 win · 0 draws · Pro Palazzolo 1 win · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Jan 2025 Chievo 2–1 Pro Palazzolo Serie D - Girone B
14 Sep 2024 Pro Palazzolo 1–0 Chievo Serie D - Girone B

📈 Recent Form

Chievo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Fiorenzuola Home 2–1 W
25/10 Leon Away 4–0 W
18/10 Milan II Home 1–2 L
11/10 Virtus Verona Away 1–1 D
07/10 Brusaporto Away 1–2 L
03/10 Tritium Home 5–0 W
27/09 Nibbiano & Valtidone Away 0–2 L
21/09 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Home 2–1 W
16/09 Club Milano Home 2–0 W
12/09 Rovato Vertovese Away 4–3 W

Pro Palazzolo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Pavonese Away 0–2 L
25/10 Piacenza Home 1–1 D
18/10 Villa Valle Away 0–1 L
11/10 Caldiero Terme Home 1–3 L
04/10 Brusaporto Away 1–0 W
27/09 Scanzorosciate Away 1–1 D
20/09 Nibbiano & Valtidone Home 0–1 L
16/09 Fiorenzuola Away 1–0 W
12/09 Milan II Home 2–0 W
06/09 Real Calepina Away 1–5 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone B

Chievo #2 · 22 pts ·  Pro Palazzolo #12 · 11 pts

Chievo

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–1D–2L
W 7
D 1
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Pro Palazzolo

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–5L
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ChievoPro Palazzolo
W 7
D 1
L 2
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.30
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
1
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chievo

1
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
61-75
5
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Pro Palazzolo

1
0-15
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws