Virtus Verona vs Fiorenzuola
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group B - 12 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini • 🌫 14.6°C, 3 km/h fog
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 49.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 82.8% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 68.2% · Yes 31.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 74.1% · Over 25.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 19% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Virtus Verona · Home
Virtus Verona's home form offers the clearest route to the published pick: they beat Tritium 2-0 and drew Chievo 1-1 at home, though Milan II won there 2-3. The model gives them 1.18 expected goals against Fiorenzuola's 0.59.
Fiorenzuola · Away
Fiorenzuola have failed to score in two of their last five, including 0-0 draws with Piacenza 0-0 and Villa Valle 0-0. Their only win in that run was a 2-1 home success over Rovato Vertovese.
Home edge in low-scoring fixture
The latest head-to-head, a 1-1 draw at Fiorenzuola on 25 Feb 2024, followed Virtus Verona's 1-0 home win over the same opponent on 20 Oct 2023. Fiorenzuola's two clean sheets in five sit alongside two matches in which they failed to score, supporting a low total. Virtus Verona's home results include a 2-0 win and a 1-1 draw, while their two away defeats produced just one goal scored. The evidence supports Virtus Verona win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Virtus Verona 1.18 – 0.59 Fiorenzuola · expected total 1.76
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Virtus Verona
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Virtus Verona
Fiorenzuola
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone B
Virtus Verona
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Fiorenzuola
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Virtus Verona at home · Fiorenzuola away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Virtus Verona (home)
Fiorenzuola (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Fiorenzuola 1 win · 1 draw · Virtus Verona 2 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2024 | Fiorenzuola | 1–1 | Virtus Verona | Serie C - Girone A |
| 20 Oct 2023 | Virtus Verona | 1–0 | Fiorenzuola | Serie C - Girone A |
| 06 Mar 2022 | Fiorenzuola | 1–0 | Virtus Verona | Serie C - Girone A |
| 24 Oct 2021 | Virtus Verona | 2–1 | Fiorenzuola | Serie C - Girone A |
📈 Recent Form
Virtus Verona
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Milan II | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Tritium | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Chievo | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Pavonese | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Club Milano | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Rovato Vertovese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/09 | Piacenza | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Villa Valle | Home | 2–2 | D |
Fiorenzuola
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Chievo | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Rovato Vertovese | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Pavonese | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Piacenza | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 04/10 | Villa Valle | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 27/09 | Caldiero Terme | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Brusaporto | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 16/09 | Pro Palazzolo | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Scanzorosciate | Home | 0–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone B
Virtus Verona #11 · 12 pts · Fiorenzuola #17 · 6 pts
Virtus Verona
Fiorenzuola
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Virtus Verona
Fiorenzuola
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws