Tritium vs Real Calepina
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group B - 12 • 🌤 12.7°C, 2 km/h mostly clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 40.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 75.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 68.6% · No 31.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 67.2% · Under 32.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Tritium · Home
Tritium have scored just 2 goals across their last 5 matches, failing to score in 4 of them, including home defeats to Leon (0-1) and Club Milano (0-1). Their model expected goals of 1.8 for this fixture suggests a more productive attacking display than that recent record implies.
Real Calepina · Away
Real Calepina have drawn 2 of their last 5 and failed to score twice, but they did win away at Club Milano (2-1). Their model expected goals of 1.67 points to a competitive away showing.
Tritium's H2H Warning
The latest head-to-head is a warning: Real Calepina won 0-3 at Tritium on 3 Mar 2024, and the earlier meeting finished 1-1. Tritium's recent home form is also poor, with 3 defeats in their last 4 at home. Yet the model still makes Tritium the primary pick at 40.4%, with the double chance at 75.7% and Over 2.5 at 67.2%. The evidence supports Tritium win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Tritium 1.80 – 1.67 Real Calepina · expected total 3.47
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Tritium
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Tritium
Real Calepina
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone B
Tritium
Real Calepina
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Tritium at home · Real Calepina away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Tritium (home)
Real Calepina (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Real Calepina 1 win · 1 draw · Tritium 1 win · avg 4.7 goals · BTTS in 1 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar 2024 | Tritium | 0–3 | Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Real Calepina | 1–1 | Tritium | Serie D - Girone B |
| 02 Aug 2023 | Tritium | 9–0 | Real Calepina | Friendlies Clubs |
📈 Recent Form
Tritium
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Leon | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Virtus Verona | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Club Milano | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | Chievo | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 27/09 | Rovato Vertovese | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 20/09 | Pavonese | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Villa Valle | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Brusaporto | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Piacenza | Home | 1–2 | L |
Real Calepina
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Pavonese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Club Milano | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Villa Valle | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 07/10 | Leon | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Rovato Vertovese | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Brusaporto | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Piacenza | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Caldiero Terme | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Scanzorosciate | Away | 0–0 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone B
Tritium #18 · 5 pts · Real Calepina #9 · 13 pts
Tritium
Real Calepina
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Tritium
Real Calepina
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws