Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone D

Lentigione vs Arconatese

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group D - 11 • ☁️ 10.4°C, 1 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available60.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available84.9% —
BTTS No Current price not available52.7% · Yes 47.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available51.5% · Over 48.5% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available12.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Lentigione 60.3% · Draw 24.6% · Arconatese 15.1%. Selected outcome: Lentigione win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Lentigione 1.82, Arconatese 0.80, expected total 2.62.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Lentigione: D-D-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Arconatese: W-L-L-D-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Lentigione

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season6
Elo strength rating1684

Arconatese

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)2.20
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1312
LentigioneArconatese
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
2.20
Best league winning streak this season
6
1
Elo strength rating
1684
1312

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Lentigione

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Arconatese

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone D

Lentigione

2nd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Arconatese

2nd worst defence (2.20 conceded/game, season) Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 2nd worst clean sheets (0, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Lentigione at home · Arconatese away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Lentigione (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Arconatese (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Lentigione (home)Arconatese (away)
W 2
D 1
L 1
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
2.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
12.19%
2–0
12.05%
2–1
9.68%
3–0
7.3%
3–1
5.86%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Lentigione

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Sant'Angelo Away 2–0 W
25/10 Crema Home 1–1 D
17/10 Solbiatese Away 2–2 D
11/10 Pontedera Home 2–0 W
07/10 Piacenza Home 1–3 L
04/10 Oltrepò Away 2–1 W
27/09 Città di Varese Away 1–1 D
20/09 Cittadella Vis Modena Home 0–1 L
16/09 Coriano Away 2–1 W
12/09 Castellanzese Home 1–0 W

Arconatese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Pontedera Home 3–4 L
25/10 Coriano Away 2–1 W
18/10 Città di Varese Home 1–5 L
11/10 Castellanzese Away 0–1 L
04/10 Pro Sesto Home 1–1 D
27/09 Pavia Away 1–1 D
20/09 Pro Patria Home 0–3 L
16/09 Pistoiese Away 0–5 L
12/09 Correggese Home 1–1 D
06/09 USD Casatese Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone D

Lentigione #2 · 21 pts ·  Arconatese #17 · 6 pts

Lentigione

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–1L
W 6
D 3
L 1
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Arconatese

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–6L
W 1
D 3
L 6
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
LentigioneArconatese
W 6
D 3
L 1
W 1
D 3
L 6
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.20
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Lentigione

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
31-45
4
1
46-60
2
61-75
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Arconatese

2
0-15
2
5
16-30
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
61-75
2
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws