Pro Patria vs Castellanzese
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group D - 12 • Carlo Speroni • 🌤 12.1°C, 1 km/h mostly clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 42.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 74.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 64% · No 36% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 61.4% · Under 38.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Pro Patria 42.5% · Draw 25.5% · Castellanzese 32.0%. Selected outcome: Pro Patria win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Pro Patria 1.71, Castellanzese 1.46, expected total 3.18.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Pro Patria: D-W-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Castellanzese: D-W-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Pro Patria
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Pro Patria
Castellanzese
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone D
Pro Patria
Castellanzese
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Pro Patria at home · Castellanzese away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Pro Patria (home)
Castellanzese (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Pro Patria
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pavia | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 28/10 | Leon | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Correggese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | USD Casatese | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Sant'Angelo | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Città di Varese | Away | 5–2 | W |
| 04/10 | Varesina | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 27/09 | Solbiatese | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Arconatese | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Crema | Home | 2–0 | W |
Castellanzese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pistoiese | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 25/10 | Varesina | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Correggese | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Arconatese | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Sant'Angelo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Crema | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Solbiatese | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Oltrepò | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Lentigione | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Pontedera | Home | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone D
Pro Patria #3 · 20 pts · Castellanzese #4 · 19 pts
Pro Patria
Castellanzese
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Pro Patria
Castellanzese
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws