Castellanzese vs USD Casatese
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group D - 11 • 🌧 9.6°C, 1 km/h, 0.7mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 51.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 79.2% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 50.5% · Yes 49.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 53.7% · Over 46.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 11.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Castellanzese · Home
Castellanzese have won three of their last five, scoring in every one of those matches, including a 2-0 win at Correggese and a 2-1 win at Sant'Angelo. Their model expected goals of 1.6 for this fixture is the higher of the two sides.
USD Casatese · Away
USD Casatese have lost three of their last five and failed to score in the 0-3 home defeat to Pistoiese. They have scored only 4 goals across those five matches while conceding 8.
Casatese's Low-Scoring Away Profile
The latest head-to-head, on 2 Apr 2026, finished 1-0 to USD Casatese, but that was at Casatese's ground. Casatese's recent away results split sharply: a 1-3 loss at Pavia and a 1-0 win at Cittadella Vis Modena. Their five-match record of 4 goals scored and 8 conceded, with one failure to score, points to a low-scoring contest. Castellanzese's model expected goals of 1.6 against Casatese's 0.93 support a narrow home edge, consistent with the 1-0 correct-score pick. The evidence supports Castellanzese win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Castellanzese 1.60 – 0.93 USD Casatese · expected total 2.53
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Castellanzese
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Castellanzese
USD Casatese
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone D
Castellanzese
USD Casatese
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Castellanzese at home · USD Casatese away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Castellanzese (home)
USD Casatese (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Castellanzese 2 wins · 1 draw · USD Casatese 5 wins · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr 2026 | USD Casatese | 1–0 | Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Castellanzese | 1–2 | USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| 02 Feb 2025 | USD Casatese | 1–0 | Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Castellanzese | 1–0 | USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| 31 Jan 2024 | USD Casatese | 0–0 | Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| 04 Oct 2023 | Castellanzese | 0–1 | USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Castellanzese | 1–0 | USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| 16 Oct 2021 | USD Casatese | 3–1 | Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Castellanzese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pistoiese | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 25/10 | Varesina | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Correggese | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Arconatese | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Sant'Angelo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Crema | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Solbiatese | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Oltrepò | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Lentigione | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Pontedera | Home | 3–1 | W |
USD Casatese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pro Sesto | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Pavia | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Pro Patria | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Cittadella Vis Modena | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Pistoiese | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Varesina | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 20/09 | Correggese | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Sant'Angelo | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Solbiatese | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 06/09 | Arconatese | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone D
Castellanzese #4 · 19 pts · USD Casatese #5 · 16 pts
Castellanzese
USD Casatese
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Castellanzese
USD Casatese
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws