Città di Varese vs Sant'Angelo
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group D - 11 • 🌧 9.1°C, 1 km/h, 0.5mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 27.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 66.2% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 59.7% · No 40.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 44.6% · Over 55.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 12.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Città di Varese · Home
Città di Varese have scored 10 goals across their last five matches, including a 5-1 win at Arconatese and a 2-0 home win over Oltrepò. However, they lost 3-0 away to Sant'Angelo in the latest head-to-head on 6 Nov 2024.
Sant'Angelo · Away
Sant'Angelo have scored only 4 goals in their last five matches and failed to score in three of them, including home defeats to Lentigione and Sanremese. Their 3-0 win over Città di Varese is the standout result in this head-to-head.
Varese goals meet Sant'Angelo away
Città di Varese's recent scoring output of 10 goals in five matches contrasts with Sant'Angelo's tally of 4, yet the away side won the latest meeting 3-0. Sant'Angelo failed to score in three of their last five, so a repeat of that 3-0 scoreline looks less likely than a tighter contest. The model gives Città di Varese 1.51 expected goals and Sant'Angelo 1.39, pointing to a balanced fixture. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Città di Varese 1.51 – 1.39 Sant'Angelo · expected total 2.90
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Città di Varese
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Città di Varese
Sant'Angelo
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone D
Città di Varese
Sant'Angelo
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Città di Varese at home · Sant'Angelo away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Città di Varese (home)
Sant'Angelo (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Città di Varese 0 wins · 0 draws · Sant'Angelo 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov 2024 | Sant'Angelo | 3–0 | Città di Varese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
📈 Recent Form
Città di Varese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Varesina | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Solbiatese | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Arconatese | Away | 5–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Oltrepò | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Pro Patria | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 04/10 | Crema | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Lentigione | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Pontedera | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Pro Sesto | Home | 0–2 | L |
Sant'Angelo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Lentigione | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 28/10 | Sanremese | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Pro Sesto | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Coriano | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Pro Patria | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 07/10 | Pavia | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 04/10 | Castellanzese | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Pistoiese | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Pavia | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 16/09 | USD Casatese | Away | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone D
Città di Varese #11 · 13 pts · Sant'Angelo #10 · 14 pts
Città di Varese
Sant'Angelo
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Città di Varese
Sant'Angelo
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws