Pistoiese vs Coriano
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group D - 12 • ☀️ 17.2°C, 5 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 72.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 94.8% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 77.9% · Yes 22.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 67% · Over 33% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 22.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Pistoiese · Home
Pistoiese have won three of their last five, including home wins over Pavia and Correggese by 1-0. Their model expected goals of 1.73 for this fixture reflect that home solidity.
Coriano · Away
Coriano have lost four of five and failed to score in one of those matches. Their model expected goals of 0.3 for this fixture underline how little attacking output the recent record supports.
Home form meets away slump
The latest head-to-head is a warning: Coriano won 0-1 at Pistoiese on 19 Apr 2026, and the earlier meeting also finished 0-1. Yet Pistoiese's current home run includes 1-0 wins over Pavia and Correggese, while Coriano's five-match record shows 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses with 10 conceded. Pistoiese's model expected goals of 1.73 against Coriano's 0.3 point to a narrow home edge rather than a repeat of that away result. The evidence supports Pistoiese win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Pistoiese 1.73 – 0.30 Coriano · expected total 2.03
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Pistoiese
Coriano
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone D
Pistoiese
Coriano
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Pistoiese at home · Coriano away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Pistoiese (home)
Coriano (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Coriano 1 win · 0 draws · Pistoiese 1 win · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Pistoiese | 0–1 | Coriano | Serie D - Girone D |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Coriano | 0–1 | Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
📈 Recent Form
Pistoiese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Castellanzese | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Cittadella Vis Modena | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Pavia | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Correggese | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Sestri Levante | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | USD Casatese | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Sant'Angelo | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Varesina | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Arconatese | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Crema | Away | 3–1 | W |
Coriano
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Correggese | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/10 | Arconatese | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 21/10 | Solbiatese | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Sant'Angelo | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 14/10 | Pontedera | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Crema | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 20/09 | Oltrepò | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Lentigione | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Città di Varese | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone D
Pistoiese #1 · 27 pts · Coriano #16 · 6 pts
Pistoiese
Coriano
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Pistoiese
Coriano
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws