Pro Sesto vs Correggese
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group D - 11 • Stadio Ernesto Breda • 🌧 10.2°C, 2 km/h, 0.4mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 52.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 82.5% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 60.1% · Yes 39.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 64% · Over 36% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 15.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Pro Sesto · Home
Pro Sesto are without a win in five (three draws, two defeats) and have failed to score in two of those matches. Their model expected goals of 1.42 for this fixture is the higher of the two sides.
Correggese · Away
Correggese have one win in five and failed to score in two of those games, including the 0-1 loss at Pistoiese. Their model expected goals of 0.71 is the lower figure here.
H2H margins favour narrow home win
Both head-to-head meetings in the data finished 1-0, with the home side winning each time: Correggese won 1-0 on 3 May 2026, and Pro Sesto won 1-0 on 21 Dec 2025. Pro Sesto's recent record of three draws and two losses included two 1-1 draws and a 0-0, so tight scorelines are the pattern. Correggese have no clean sheet in five and conceded seven goals across those matches. The evidence supports Pro Sesto win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Pro Sesto 1.42 – 0.71 Correggese · expected total 2.14
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Pro Sesto
Correggese
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone D
Pro Sesto
Correggese
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Pro Sesto at home · Correggese away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Pro Sesto (home)
Correggese (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Correggese 1 win · 0 draws · Pro Sesto 1 win · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2026 | Correggese | 1–0 | Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Pro Sesto | 1–0 | Correggese | Serie D - Girone D |
📈 Recent Form
Pro Sesto
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | USD Casatese | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Sant'Angelo | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Varesina | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 11/10 | Solbiatese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Arconatese | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/09 | Oltrepò | Home | 6–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Crema | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Pontedera | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Città di Varese | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Lentigione | Home | 2–3 | L |
Correggese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Coriano | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 25/10 | Pro Patria | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Castellanzese | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Pistoiese | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | Pavia | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | USD Casatese | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Varesina | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Arconatese | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Sant'Angelo | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone D
Pro Sesto #6 · 15 pts · Correggese #12 · 12 pts
Pro Sesto
Correggese
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Pro Sesto
Correggese
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws