Girona vs Celta de Vigo II
Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Estadio Municipal de Montilivi • ☁️ 15.9°C, 4 km/h overcast
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 84% | 58.3% | — | — | — | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | 76% | 78.5% | — | — | — | — |
| BTTS | No | 81% | 49.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 81% | 49.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | 65% | 8.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~7.8 exp.) | Under 9.5 | 65% | 56.2% | — | — | — | — |
⚽ Model expected goals: Girona 1.75 – 0.92 Celta de Vigo II · expected total 2.67
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Segunda División
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Girona at home · Celta de Vigo II away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Girona (home)
Celta de Vigo II (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
📈 Recent Form
Girona
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Tenerife | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Mallorca | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 25/09 | Albacete | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Cadiz | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Castellón | Home | 1–2 | L |
Celta de Vigo II
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Real Sociedad II | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 04/10 | Sporting Gijon | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 26/09 | Sabadell | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Almeria | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 14/09 | Eibar | Home | 0–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison — Segunda División
Girona #7 · 15 pts — Celta de Vigo II #13 · 11 pts
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws