Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart
Next match: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 • 19:00 UTC+3 • League Stage - 2 • Tehelne Pole Stadion • ☁️ 13.4°C, 6 km/h overcast
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 89% | 70.6% | 1.31 | 1xBet | 78.6% | -8 pp |
| Double Chance | 12 | 71% | 71.2% | 1.15 | 1xBet | 86.5% | -15.3 pp |
| BTTS | Yes | 83% | 53.9% | 1.67 | William Hill | 56.3% | -2.4 pp |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 53.3% | 1.39 | Betano | 71% | -17.7 pp |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | 61% | 6% | 9.50 | Bet365 | 5.7% | +0.3 pp |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | 61% | 52.6% | 1.90 | Betano | 51% | +1.6 pp |
⚽ Model expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 1.66 – 1.45 VfB Stuttgart · expected total 3.11
Probabilities are calibrated against this season's real results. Odds are correct at publish time. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market. Odds chips show the line movement since our tip — a big drop means the value window is closing.
🧠 Match Preview
The underlying numbers back that up. Stuttgart's recent expected goals figure reads 1.7, and their last five form line is WWWLL, against Slovan's WWDLL. The hosts are also missing A. Griger, M. Kianga, M. Kukharevych and N. Marcelli, while Stuttgart's injury list is long — L. Assignon, J. Diehl, S. Drljaca, L. Jaquez, N. Nartey, D. Seimen, L. Stergiou, T. Tomas, D. Zagadou, A. Al Dakhil and a doubtful J. Chabot. The one previous meeting ended 1-3 to Stuttgart.
Beyond the outright result, the model leans toward double chance 12 at 71.2 percent, both teams to score at 53.9 percent (odds 1.67) and over 2.5 goals at 53.3 percent (odds 1.39). The most likely correct score is 1-2 at 7.81 percent, followed by 0-1 at 5.4 and 0-2 at 4.71. Corners are projected at 9.8, with over 9.5 landing at 52.6 percent.
The honest caveat: Stuttgart's casualty list is genuinely heavy, and a 1.31 price leaves almost no margin for rotation or an off night in Bratislava. The value, if any, hides in the goals markets rather than the result.
Updated 12 Oct 2026, 16:09 UTC+3 — refreshed when the underlying data changes.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Slovan Bratislava
VfB Stuttgart
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Slovan Bratislava
VfB Stuttgart
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Slovan Bratislava at home · VfB Stuttgart away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Slovan Bratislava (home)
VfB Stuttgart (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Slovan Bratislava 0 wins · 0 draws · VfB Stuttgart 1 win · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2025 | Slovan Bratislava | 1–3 | VfB Stuttgart | UEFA Champions League |
📈 Recent Form
Slovan Bratislava
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Komárno | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Nitra | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Žilina | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 09/09 | Paris Saint Germain | Away | 1–6 | L |
| 05/09 | Dunajska Streda | Away | 0–2 | L |
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | SC Paderborn 07 | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 01/10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 25/09 | 1. FC Heidenheim | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Borussia Dortmund | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | 1899 Hoffenheim | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison — UEFA Champions League
Slovan Bratislava #35 · 0 pts — VfB Stuttgart #6 · 3 pts
Slovan Bratislava
VfB Stuttgart
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Slovan Bratislava
VfB Stuttgart
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Slovan Bratislava
- ❌ A. Griger — Off the roster
- ❌ M. Kianga — Off the roster
- ❌ M. Kukharevych — Injury
- ❌ N. Marcelli — Injury
VfB Stuttgart
- ❌ L. Assignon — Shoulder Injury
- ❌ J. Diehl — Muscle Injury
- ❌ S. Drljaca — Off the roster
- ❌ L. Jaquez — Muscle Injury
- ❌ N. Nartey — Red Card
- ❌ D. Seimen — Thigh Injury
- ❌ L. Stergiou — Off the roster
- ❌ T. Tomas — Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. Zagadou — Muscle Injury
- ❌ A. Al Dakhil — Knee Injury
- ❓ J. Chabot (doubtful) — Injury
More: UEFA Champions League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws