Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 00:05 UTC+3 • Clausura - 18 • Estadio Palogrande • 🌦 18°C, 1 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 50.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 76.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 56.8% · No 43.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 54.6% · Under 45.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.7% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.7 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 51.3% · Under 48.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Once Caldas · Home
Once Caldas are unbeaten across their last five matches, with three wins and two draws, and they kept clean sheets in three of those games. Their recent xG for is 0.79 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.74.
Águilas Doradas · Away
Águilas Doradas have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, and they failed to score in the 0-1 defeat at Junior. Their recent xG for is 1.2 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics, against a model expected goals of 1.12 here.
Head-to-head draws point to tight home edge
The latest H2H finished 2-2 at Águilas Doradas, following 1-1 at Once Caldas and a 0-1 Once Caldas away win. Those two draws show Águilas Doradas can hold Once Caldas, yet the 2025-02-22 result shows Once Caldas winning this matchup. Once Caldas' five-match record of 6 goals for and 2 against, with three clean sheets, supports a narrow home success rather than a repeat draw. The evidence supports Once Caldas win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 10:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Once Caldas 1.74 – 1.12 Águilas Doradas · expected total 2.87
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Once Caldas
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Once Caldas at home · Águilas Doradas away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Once Caldas (home)
Águilas Doradas (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Águilas Doradas 4 wins · 3 draws · Once Caldas 3 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2026 | Águilas Doradas | 2–2 | Once Caldas | Primera A |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Once Caldas | 1–1 | Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Águilas Doradas | 0–1 | Once Caldas | Primera A |
| 21 Jul 2024 | Once Caldas | 1–0 | Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| 26 Jan 2024 | Águilas Doradas | 1–0 | Once Caldas | Primera A |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Águilas Doradas | 2–1 | Once Caldas | Primera A |
| 13 Feb 2023 | Once Caldas | 1–2 | Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| 19 Jul 2022 | Once Caldas | 2–0 | Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Águilas Doradas | 1–1 | Once Caldas | Primera A |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Once Caldas | 2–3 | Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
📈 Recent Form
Once Caldas
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Alianza Valledupar | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Deportivo Pereira | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 21/10 | Millonarios | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Independiente Medellin | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Llaneros | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 05/10 | Internacional de Bogota | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Bucaramanga | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Pasto | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/09 | Deportes Tolima | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Cali | Home | 1–2 | L |
Águilas Doradas
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Cucuta | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Junior | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Deportes Tolima | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 14/10 | Bucaramanga | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Alianza Valledupar | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Jaguares | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 28/09 | Deportivo Cali | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/09 | America de Cali | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 19/09 | Deportivo Pereira | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 14/09 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Once Caldas #5 · 33 pts · Águilas Doradas #12 · 26 pts
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws