Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 02:10 UTC+3 • Clausura - 18 • Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro • 🌦 22.2°C, 0 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 29.8% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 69.2% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 50.9% · No 49.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.7% · Over 44.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 14.2% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 50.8% · Over 49.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Deportes Tolima · Home
Deportes Tolima have failed to score in three of their last five matches, including home draws of 0-0 with Chico and a 0-1 loss to Deportivo Pasto. Their recent record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses makes a low-scoring home display realistic.
Millonarios · Away
Millonarios are unbeaten in five, with four draws, and have scored in every one of those matches. Their away run includes 1-1 at Atletico Nacional and 2-2 at Independiente Medellin, showing they trade goals without always winning.
Tolima's scoring drought meets Millonarios' draws
Tolima's recent record shows 3 goals in 5 matches and 3 failed-to-score games, while Millonarios drew 4 of their last 5 and failed to score in none. The latest H2H was 2-0 to Millonarios, but the prior meeting in Tolima finished 3-1. Millonarios' away sequence of 1-1, 2-2 and 1-1 points to another shared outcome rather than a clear away win. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Deportes Tolima 1.31 – 1.14 Millonarios · expected total 2.45
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Deportes Tolima
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A
Deportes Tolima
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Millonarios
Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Deportes Tolima at home · Millonarios away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Deportes Tolima (home)
Millonarios (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Deportes Tolima 3 wins · 3 draws · Millonarios 4 wins · avg 1.7 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | Millonarios | 2–0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 18 Aug 2025 | Deportes Tolima | 3–1 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 03 Mar 2025 | Millonarios | 2–0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 03 Aug 2024 | Millonarios | 1–0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 04 Feb 2024 | Deportes Tolima | 2–0 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 08 Aug 2023 | Millonarios | 1–0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 30 Mar 2023 | Deportes Tolima | 1–1 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 24 Oct 2022 | Deportes Tolima | 1–0 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 10 May 2022 | Millonarios | 0–0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 10 Dec 2021 | Millonarios | 1–1 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
📈 Recent Form
Deportes Tolima
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Deportivo Pasto | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Águilas Doradas | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/10 | Jaguares | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 09/10 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 04/10 | Chico | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 28/09 | Fortaleza FC | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 21/09 | America de Cali | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/09 | Once Caldas | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Santa Fe | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 08/09 | Llaneros | Away | 2–1 | W |
Millonarios
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Once Caldas | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Jaguares | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 09/10 | Fortaleza FC | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 30/09 | Independiente Medellin | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/09 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Chico | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 14/09 | Cucuta | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/09 | Deportivo Cali | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Pereira | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 03/09 | Santa Fe | Away | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Deportes Tolima #6 · 31 pts · Millonarios #10 · 26 pts
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws