Portsmouth vs Swansea
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Fratton Park • ⛅ 10.6°C, 17 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.80 (64.5%, Model EV +16.1%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw 3.45 → 3.4 ▼1% | Betano3.40 | 27.3% | -7.2% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.52 | 64.8% | -1.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.78 | 64.5% · No 35.5% | +14.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle1.82 | 48.5% · Over 51.5% | -11.7% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betano6.60 | 11.5% | -24.1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.2 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Betano1.82 | 54.8% · Under 45.2% | -0.3% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Portsmouth · Home
Portsmouth are unbeaten across their last five with 3 wins and 2 draws, and their most recent outing was a 0-0 at Burnley. Their latest home match brought a 2-1 win over Millwall.
Swansea · Away
Swansea's last five show 3 wins and 2 losses, including a 4-0 home win over Blackburn and a 0-5 defeat at QPR. They failed to score in 2 of those 5 matches.
H2H Swings Point To Draw
The latest head-to-head is the telling detail: Portsmouth lost 1-2 at home to Swansea on 10 Mar 2026, after Swansea won 1-0 on 9 Dec 2025 and Portsmouth won 4-0 on 1 Jan 2025. That sequence shows the fixture swinging between outcomes rather than settling. Portsmouth's 5-match unbeaten run (7 scored, 4 conceded) meets a Swansea side with 7 scored and 7 conceded, so neither profile clearly dominates. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Portsmouth 1.71 – 1.49 Swansea · expected total 3.20
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Portsmouth
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Portsmouth
Swansea
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Portsmouth
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Swansea
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Portsmouth at home · Swansea away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Portsmouth (home)
Swansea (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Portsmouth 1 win · 1 draw · Swansea 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | Portsmouth | 1–2 | Swansea | Championship |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Swansea | 1–0 | Portsmouth | Championship |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Portsmouth | 4–0 | Swansea | Championship |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Swansea | 2–2 | Portsmouth | Championship |
📈 Recent Form
Portsmouth
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Burnley | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 24/10 | Millwall | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/10 | Wolves | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Norwich | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 14/10 | Sheffield Utd | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 11/10 | Southampton | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 19/09 | Blackburn | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Charlton | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Cardiff | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 01/09 | Derby | Home | 0–2 | L |
Swansea
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Blackburn | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 24/10 | QPR | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 17/10 | West Ham | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 13/10 | Millwall | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Norwich | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Lincoln | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Burnley | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 08/09 | Southampton | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Wrexham | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 01/09 | Watford | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Portsmouth #11 · 19 pts · Swansea #2 · 26 pts
Portsmouth
Swansea
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Portsmouth
Swansea
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Portsmouth
- ❌ K. Anderson: Injury
- ❌ J. Bursik: Injury
- ❌ J. Farrell: Groin Injury
- ❌ M. Kosznovszky: Knee Injury
- ❌ C. Ogilvie: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Pack: Knee Injury
- ❌ F. Umeh: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ T. Waddingham: Ankle Injury
- ❌ H. Blair: Illness
- ❌ J. Murphy: Injury
- ❌ L. Brooke-Smith: Ankle Injury
- ❌ Marezi: Calf Injury
- ❌ C. Shaughnessy: Injury
- ❌ B. Arthur: Back Injury
- ❌ C. Bishop: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Swift: Knee Injury
Swansea
- ❌ C. Burgess: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ R. Stewart: Injury
- ❌ G. Franco: Ankle Injury
- ❌ J. Key: Muscle Injury
- ❌ S. Eustaquio: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ F. Lissah: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Ronald: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ M. K. Yeo: Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): B. Cabango; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: Matthew Corlett