Predictions → England FA WSL

Brighton W vs Liverpool W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • The Broadfield Stadium • ⛅ 11.4°C, 11 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available54.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available77.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available64.2% · No 35.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available65.1% · Under 34.9% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.7% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available54.6% · Over 45.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Brighton W · Home

Brighton W have won four of their last five, scoring 18 goals and failing to score in none of those matches. Their latest outing was a 2-1 home win over Crystal Palace W, and the model expects 2.08 goals here.

Liverpool W · Away

Liverpool W are without a win in five, with one draw and four defeats, and they failed to score in the 0-1 loss at Manchester United W. Their most recent match was a 1-4 away defeat to West Ham W.

Brighton edge recent H2H

The latest head-to-head, on 10 May 2026, finished 2-3 to Brighton W away from home. The two earlier meetings were a 0-0 and a 1-1, so Brighton have avoided defeat in all three supplied H2H fixtures. Brighton's recent record of four wins from five, including a 6-0 away win at Wolverhampton W, supports the published pick against a Liverpool W side with one point from five. The evidence supports Brighton W win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Brighton W 2.08 – 1.29 Liverpool W · expected total 3.36

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Brighton W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.03
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.37
Elo strength rating1503

Liverpool W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.99
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.42
Elo strength rating1360
Brighton WLiverpool W
Goals scored (season avg)
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
2
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.03
0.99
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.37
0.42
Elo strength rating
1503
1360

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Brighton W

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Liverpool W

Winless 5
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: FA WSL

Brighton W

2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Liverpool W

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (2, season)

Rank among 14 FA WSL teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Brighton W at home · Liverpool W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Brighton W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Liverpool W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–3L
W 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Brighton W (home)Liverpool W (away)
W 2
D 1
L 1
W 1
L 3
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.80
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.66%
2–0
7.51%
3–1
6.69%
1–0
6.3%
3–0
5.2%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Brighton W 1 win · 3 draws · Liverpool W 5 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 6 of 9

1
3
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
10 May 2026 Liverpool W 2–3 Brighton W FA Women's Cup
22 Mar 2026 Brighton W 0–0 Liverpool W FA WSL
09 Nov 2025 Liverpool W 1–1 Brighton W FA WSL
19 Apr 2025 Brighton W 1–2 Liverpool W FA WSL
17 Jan 2025 Liverpool W 2–1 Brighton W FA WSL
18 Feb 2024 Brighton W 0–1 Liverpool W FA WSL
26 Nov 2023 Liverpool W 4–0 Brighton W FA WSL
23 Apr 2023 Liverpool W 2–1 Brighton W FA WSL
20 Nov 2022 Brighton W 3–3 Liverpool W FA WSL

📈 Recent Form

Brighton W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Crystal Palace W Home 2–1 W
28/10 Wolverhampton W Away 6–0 W
24/10 West Ham W Home 3–0 W
18/10 Manchester City W Away 2–3 L
04/10 Charlton Athletic W Home 5–1 W
30/09 Tottenham Hotspur W Home 0–1 L
26/09 London City Lionesses W Away 0–2 L
23/09 Charlton Athletic W Home 4–0 W
20/09 Aston Villa W Home 1–1 D
13/09 Birmingham City W Away 2–2 D

Liverpool W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 West Ham W Away 1–4 L
25/10 London City Lionesses W Home 2–2 D
21/10 Manchester United W Home 3–5 L
18/10 Aston Villa W Away 1–2 L
03/10 Manchester United W Away 0–1 L
30/09 Birmingham City W Away 4–3 W
27/09 Everton W Home 2–0 W
23/09 Sunderland W Home 4–2 W
18/09 Manchester City W Away 2–4 L
13/09 Tottenham Hotspur W Home 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: FA WSL

Brighton W #6 · 11 pts ·  Liverpool W #11 · 8 pts

Brighton W

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–3L
W 3
D 2
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards11
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.03
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.37
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Liverpool W

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards7
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.99
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.42
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Brighton WLiverpool W
W 3
D 2
L 3
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.40
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
2
1
Yellow cards
11
7
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.03
0.99
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.37
0.42
Corners for (avg)
3.70
5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Brighton W

4
0-15
3
16-30
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Liverpool W

2
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: FA WSL predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws