Predictions → England League One

Bromley vs Notts County

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Hayes Lane • ☁️ 7.6°C, 13 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available42.6% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available72.7% —
BTTS No Current price not available51.4% · Yes 48.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available58% · Over 42% —
Correct Score 0-1 Current price not available11.3% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.4 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available51% · Over 49% —

🧠 Match Preview

Bromley · Home

Bromley have taken one point from their last five matches, with 2-3 at Wigan and 1-4 at Milton Keynes Dons among four defeats. They failed to score in two of those five games and have a recent_xg_for of 0.84 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics.

Notts County · Away

Notts County have won three of their last five, including 2-0 at Mansfield Town and 2-0 against Sheffield Wednesday, with two clean sheets. Their recent_xg_for of 0.69 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics sits below their model_expected_goals of 1.34 for this fixture.

Draws mask County edge

The latest three head-to-head meetings all finished level: 1-1 on 14 Feb 2026, 2-2 and 1-1. Those draws show Bromley can hold Notts County, yet Bromley's current run of 4 goals for and 13 against in five matches is a different picture from those one-off meetings. Notts County's 10 goals for and 4 against over the same span, plus two clean sheets, makes a narrow away win realistic rather than a repeat of the stalemates. The evidence supports Notts County win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Bromley 1.02 – 1.34 Notts County · expected total 2.36

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bromley

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.84
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.21
Elo strength rating1230

Notts County

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.14
Elo strength rating1412
BromleyNotts County
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.50
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
1
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.84
0.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.21
1.14
Elo strength rating
1230
1412

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bromley

Lost 2 in a row Winless 8
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Notts County

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: League One

Bromley

Worst defence (2.50 conceded/game, season) 3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Notts County

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bromley at home · Notts County away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Bromley (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–3L
W 1
D 2
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3

Notts County (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–2L
W 1
D 3
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Bromley (home)Notts County (away)
W 1
D 2
L 3
W 1
D 3
L 2
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.30
1.30
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
3
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–1
11.33%
1–2
8.65%
0–2
8.45%
1–3
3.86%
0–3
3.77%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bromley 2 wins · 7 draws · Notts County 1 win · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10

2
7
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
14 Feb 2026 Bromley 1–1 Notts County League Two
23 Aug 2025 Notts County 2–2 Bromley League Two
25 Jan 2025 Notts County 1–1 Bromley League Two
14 Sep 2024 Bromley 2–4 Notts County League Two
04 Mar 2023 Bromley 1–1 Notts County National League
01 Nov 2022 Notts County 1–1 Bromley National League
29 Jan 2022 Bromley 1–0 Notts County National League
26 Oct 2021 Notts County 1–1 Bromley National League
29 May 2021 Bromley 1–0 Notts County National League
15 May 2021 Notts County 2–2 Bromley National League

📈 Recent Form

Bromley

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Wigan Away 2–3 L
27/10 Milton Keynes Dons Away 1–4 L
24/10 Peterborough Home 1–1 D
20/10 Leicester Home 0–4 L
17/10 Stockport County Away 0–1 L
10/10 Mansfield Town Away 1–2 L
06/10 Crawley Town Away 0–4 L
22/09 Brentford U21 Home 0–1 L
19/09 Huddersfield Home 2–1 W
12/09 Blackpool Away 2–2 D

Notts County

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Mansfield Town Away 2–0 W
24/10 Stockport County Home 1–1 D
20/10 Sheffield Wednesday Home 2–0 W
17/10 Wycombe Away 0–2 L
13/10 Nottingham Forest U21 Home 5–1 W
10/10 Oxford United Home 1–2 L
22/09 Grimsby Home 2–1 W
19/09 Reading Away 0–2 L
12/09 Bradford Home 0–1 L
05/09 Huddersfield Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: League One

Bromley #24 · 9 pts ·  Notts County #17 · 14 pts

Bromley

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–8L
W 2
D 3
L 8
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards28
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.84
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.21
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Notts County

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–4L
W 3
D 5
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards33
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.14
Corners for (avg)3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
BromleyNotts County
W 2
D 3
L 8
W 3
D 5
L 4
Played
13
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
1.20
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
4
3
Yellow cards
28
33
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.84
0.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.21
1.14
Corners for (avg)
5.10
3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bromley

4
0-15
3
5
16-30
2
7
31-45
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
2
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Notts County

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
61-75
3
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws