Predictions → England League One

Doncaster vs Leyton Orient

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Eco-Power Stadium • ☁️ 7.5°C, 10 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available28.7% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available65.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available54.8% · No 45.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available51.1% · Over 48.9% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available13.7% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.1 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available61.2% · Under 38.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Doncaster · Home

Doncaster have lost four of their last five, including a 1-6 defeat at Milton Keynes Dons and a 1-3 loss at Luton, though they beat Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 at home. Their recent xG for of 1.05 sits below a model expected goals figure of 1.34 for this fixture.

Leyton Orient · Away

Leyton Orient have kept three clean sheets in five and won 3-0 at home to Cambridge United, but failed to score in two of those matches. Their recent xG for of 0.62 is modest, while the model expected goals of 1.29 suggests more attacking output here.

H2H Swings Point To Draw

The latest head-to-head is a 3-0 Doncaster home win on 27 Jan 2026, yet Leyton Orient had won the previous two meetings 4-0 and 1-0. Both sides arrive with inconsistent recent records: Doncaster have one win in five, Leyton Orient two wins, one draw and two losses. Leyton Orient's three clean sheets in five show they can limit opponents, supporting a low-scoring contest. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Doncaster 1.34 – 1.29 Leyton Orient · expected total 2.63

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Doncaster

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.05
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.00
Elo strength rating1411

Leyton Orient

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.62
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.45
Elo strength rating1395
DoncasterLeyton Orient
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
3
4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.05
0.62
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.00
1.45
Elo strength rating
1411
1395

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Doncaster

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Leyton Orient

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: League One

Doncaster

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Leyton Orient

2nd worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6) 2nd best clean sheets (6, season)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Doncaster at home · Leyton Orient away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Doncaster (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2

Leyton Orient (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Doncaster (home)Leyton Orient (away)
W 2
D 2
L 2
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.70
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.71%
0–0
8.45%
2–2
5.4%
3–3
1.04%
4–4
0.11%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Doncaster 6 wins · 1 draw · Leyton Orient 3 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10

6
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
27 Jan 2026 Doncaster 3–0 Leyton Orient League One
11 Oct 2025 Leyton Orient 4–0 Doncaster League One
07 Jan 2023 Leyton Orient 1–0 Doncaster League Two
08 Oct 2022 Doncaster 1–1 Leyton Orient League Two
18 Mar 2017 Leyton Orient 1–4 Doncaster League Two
26 Nov 2016 Doncaster 3–1 Leyton Orient League Two
14 Apr 2015 Leyton Orient 0–1 Doncaster League One
21 Oct 2014 Doncaster 0–2 Leyton Orient League One
19 Jan 2013 Doncaster 2–0 Leyton Orient League One
29 Sep 2012 Leyton Orient 0–2 Doncaster League One

📈 Recent Form

Doncaster

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Milton Keynes Dons Away 1–6 L
27/10 Luton Away 1–3 L
24/10 Sheffield Wednesday Home 2–0 W
20/10 Stockport County Home 0–2 L
17/10 Leicester Away 1–2 L
10/10 Burton Albion Home 1–0 W
06/10 Liverpool U21 Home 1–0 W
19/09 Peterborough Away 2–0 W
12/09 AFC Wimbledon Away 0–1 L
08/09 Huddersfield Home 1–3 L

Leyton Orient

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Cambridge United Home 3–0 W
24/10 Burton Albion Away 1–2 L
21/10 Reading Away 0–1 L
17/10 Blackpool Home 2–0 W
10/10 Bradford Away 0–0 D
03/10 Plymouth Home 0–2 L
19/09 Stevenage Home 1–0 W
15/09 Arsenal U21 Home 1–2 L
12/09 Wycombe Home 2–3 L
08/09 Bradford Home 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: League One

Doncaster #20 · 12 pts ·  Leyton Orient #14 · 17 pts

Doncaster

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–7L
W 3
D 3
L 7
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3
Yellow cards29
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.05
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.00
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Leyton Orient

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–2D–6L
W 5
D 2
L 6
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets6
Failed to score3
Yellow cards23
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.62
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.45
Corners for (avg)4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
DoncasterLeyton Orient
W 3
D 3
L 7
W 5
D 2
L 6
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.10
Clean sheets
4
6
Failed to score
3
3
Yellow cards
29
23
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.05
0.62
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.00
1.45
Corners for (avg)
4.40
4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Doncaster

1
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
2
5
76-90
5
scored conceded

Leyton Orient

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
5
5
46-60
5
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws