Predictions → England League One

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Hillsborough • ☁️ 6.8°C, 8 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.6% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available75.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available66.7% · No 33.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available65.4% · Under 34.6% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.1% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.2 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available55.4% · Under 44.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Sheffield Wednesday · Home

Sheffield Wednesday's recent home form includes a 5-0 win over AFC Wimbledon and 1-1 draws with Blackpool and Cambridge United, though they failed to score in two away defeats. Their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 1.31, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.88.

Plymouth · Away

Plymouth's recent away results split sharply: a 3-2 win at Cambridge United followed a 0-3 loss at Stevenage. They failed to score in three of their last five matches, including a 0-0 draw with Reading.

H2H dominance points home

The latest head-to-head, on 8 Mar 2025, ended Plymouth 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday, and the two prior meetings also went Wednesday's way at 4-0 and 1-0. Plymouth's recent away record shows both a 3-2 win at Cambridge United and a 0-3 loss at Stevenage, so the visitors carry scoring threat. Wednesday's 5-0 home win over AFC Wimbledon shows the upside behind a home result, even with their 1.31 recent xG for over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics. The evidence supports Sheffield Wednesday win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Sheffield Wednesday 1.88 – 1.50 Plymouth · expected total 3.38

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Sheffield Wednesday

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.64
Elo strength rating1408

Plymouth

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.87
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.93
Elo strength rating1585
Sheffield WednesdayPlymouth
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
3
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.31
1.87
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.64
0.93
Elo strength rating
1408
1585

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Sheffield Wednesday

Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Plymouth

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Sheffield Wednesday at home · Plymouth away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Sheffield Wednesday (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–1L
W 2
D 3
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3

Plymouth (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–2L
W 4
D 1
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Sheffield Wednesday (home)Plymouth (away)
W 2
D 3
L 1
W 4
D 1
L 2
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.70
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
3
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.06%
2–0
6.04%
3–1
5.67%
1–0
5.47%
3–2
4.25%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Plymouth 4 wins · 1 draw · Sheffield Wednesday 5 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 2 of 10

4
1
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 Mar 2025 Plymouth 0–3 Sheffield Wednesday Championship
11 Aug 2024 Sheffield Wednesday 4–0 Plymouth Championship
05 Mar 2024 Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Plymouth Championship
25 Oct 2023 Plymouth 3–0 Sheffield Wednesday Championship
04 Feb 2023 Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Plymouth League One
04 Oct 2022 Plymouth 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday League One
15 Jan 2022 Sheffield Wednesday 4–2 Plymouth League One
16 Nov 2021 Plymouth 3–0 Sheffield Wednesday FA Cup
07 Nov 2021 Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Plymouth FA Cup
11 Sep 2021 Plymouth 3–0 Sheffield Wednesday League One

📈 Recent Form

Sheffield Wednesday

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Blackpool Home 1–1 D
27/10 Cambridge United Home 1–1 D
24/10 Doncaster Away 0–2 L
20/10 Notts County Away 0–2 L
17/10 AFC Wimbledon Home 5–0 W
10/10 Huddersfield Away 2–2 D
06/10 Sunderland U21 Home 2–0 W
22/09 Salford City Away 2–1 W
19/09 Stockport County Home 0–0 D
12/09 Wigan Home 0–0 D

Plymouth

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Reading Home 0–0 D
24/10 Cambridge United Away 3–2 W
20/10 Stevenage Away 0–3 L
17/10 Huddersfield Home 0–2 L
10/10 AFC Wimbledon Home 2–1 W
03/10 Leyton Orient Away 2–0 W
26/09 Burton Albion Home 0–1 L
22/09 Crystal Palace U21 Home 5–1 W
19/09 Blackpool Away 4–2 W
12/09 Barnsley Home 3–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: League One

Sheffield Wednesday #9 · 20 pts ·  Plymouth #5 · 23 pts

Sheffield Wednesday

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–5D–3L
W 5
D 5
L 3
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards24
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.64
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Plymouth

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–2D–5L
W 7
D 2
L 5
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets4
Failed to score5
Yellow cards19
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.87
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.93
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Sheffield WednesdayPlymouth
W 5
D 5
L 3
W 7
D 2
L 5
Played
13
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.40
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
5
5
Yellow cards
24
19
Red cards
1
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.31
1.87
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.64
0.93
Corners for (avg)
5.10
5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Sheffield Wednesday

2
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
6
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Plymouth

2
0-15
1
5
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
7
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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