Horsham vs AFC Totton
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • National League South - 16 • The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium • ☀️ 14.4°C, 22 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 51.8% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 76.9% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 58.6% · No 41.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 57.2% · Under 42.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Horsham · Home
Horsham are unbeaten across their last five with 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 11 and conceding 4, including a 5-0 win at Farnborough (5-0) and a 1-1 draw at Maidenhead (1-1). The model gives them 1.83 expected goals for this fixture.
AFC Totton · Away
AFC Totton have lost 3 of their last five, scoring 6 and conceding 11, with a 0-5 defeat at Ebbsfleet (0-5) and a 1-3 home loss to Chelmsford (1-3). Their model figure for this match is 1.16 expected goals.
Horsham's unbeaten run meets leaky Totton
The latest head-to-head is a warning: AFC Totton won 3-0 at home on 7 Mar 2026 (3-0), and Totton also won 2-0 at Horsham in 20 Sep 2025 (0-2). Yet Horsham's current five-match record of 3 wins and 2 draws, with 11 goals scored and only 4 conceded, contrasts with Totton's 11 conceded in five. Horsham's 1.83 model expected goals against Totton's 1.16 supports a home edge, and the 2-1 correct-score pick fits a match where both sides have scored recently. The evidence supports Horsham win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Horsham 1.83 – 1.16 AFC Totton · expected total 2.99
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Horsham
AFC Totton
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Horsham at home · AFC Totton away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Horsham (home)
AFC Totton (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AFC Totton 2 wins · 0 draws · Horsham 1 win · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 0 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | AFC Totton | 3–0 | Horsham | National League - South |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Horsham | 0–2 | AFC Totton | National League - South |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Horsham | 2–0 | AFC Totton | FA Trophy |
📈 Recent Form
Horsham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Farnborough | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Maidenhead | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Walton & Hersham | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Ebbsfleet United | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Slough Town | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Maidstone Utd | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Plymouth Parkway | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Chelmsford City | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 19/09 | Walton & Hersham | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Chesham United | Home | 1–4 | L |
AFC Totton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Chelmsford City | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Torquay | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Hemel Hempstead Town | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Folkestone Invicta | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Ebbsfleet United | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 10/10 | Walton & Hersham | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Dover | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Gloucester City | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Slough Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 08/09 | Weston-super-Mare | Away | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: National League South
Horsham #10 · 22 pts · AFC Totton #18 · 16 pts
Horsham
AFC Totton
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Horsham
AFC Totton
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws