Predictions → England National League South

Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 12 • ☀️ 8.7°C, 16 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Pinnacle1.9149.3% -5.8%
Double Chance 12 William Hill1.2575.6% -5.5%
BTTS Yes Bet3651.5058.3% · No 41.7% -12.6%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Bet3651.5060.7% · Under 39.3% -9%
Correct Score 2-1 William Hill8.009.3% -25.6%

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Chelmsford City 49.3% · Draw 24.4% · Farnham Town 26.3%. Selected outcome: Chelmsford City win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Chelmsford City 1.60, Farnham Town 1.26, expected total 2.86.

Price check

The model favours Chelmsford City win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.

Form / H2H

Chelmsford City: W-W-D-L-W in their last five matches.
Farnham Town: L-W-W-L-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Chelmsford City

Form (last 5)
WWDLW
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1625

Farnham Town

Form (last 5)
LWWLD
Goals scored (season avg)1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1466
Chelmsford CityFarnham Town
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
4
2
Elo strength rating
1625
1466

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Chelmsford City

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Farnham Town

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: National League South

Chelmsford City

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Farnham Town

3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chelmsford City at home · Farnham Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Chelmsford City (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–0L
W 1
D 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2

Farnham Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–2L
W 4
D 1
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Chelmsford City (home)Farnham Town (away)
W 1
D 4
W 4
D 1
L 2
Played
5
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.10
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.26%
1–0
8.04%
2–0
7.37%
3–1
4.95%
3–0
3.94%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Chelmsford City

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 AFC Totton Away 3–1 W
27/10 Dover Away 1–0 W
24/10 Tonbridge Angels Home 3–3 D
17/10 Wimborne Town Away 0–1 L
10/10 Chesham United Away 5–0 W
03/10 Brackley Town Away 2–0 W
26/09 Horsham Home 0–0 D
19/09 Canvey Island Away 1–0 W
12/09 Hampton & Richmond Away 1–1 D
08/09 Dorking Wanderers Away 3–3 D

Farnham Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Dover Away 0–1 L
27/10 Chesham United Away 4–2 W
24/10 Braintree Home 6–0 W
10/10 Salisbury Home 1–2 L
06/10 Truro City Home 2–2 D
26/09 Weston-super-Mare Home 3–2 W
22/09 Cirencester Town Home 1–2 L
19/09 Cirencester Town Away 2–2 D
12/09 Folkestone Invicta Away 2–1 W
05/09 Hemel Hempstead Town Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: National League South

Chelmsford City #12 · 21 pts ·  Farnham Town #9 · 23 pts

Chelmsford City

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–9D–0L
W 4
D 9
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets5
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Farnham Town

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–2D–5L
W 7
D 2
L 5
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Chelmsford CityFarnham Town
W 4
D 9
W 7
D 2
L 5
Played
13
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.40
Clean sheets
5
3
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chelmsford City

3
0-15
2
1
16-30
6
31-45
7
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

Farnham Town

1
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
4
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws