Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 17 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 12
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 53% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 83.1% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 62.1% · Yes 37.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 66.1% · Over 33.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 16.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Tonbridge Angels · Home
Tonbridge Angels have won three of their last five and kept three clean sheets in that run, including home wins over Folkestone Invicta and Hemel Hempstead Town. Their model expected goals of 1.39 points to a modest but workable attacking output here.
Chesham United · Away
Chesham United are without a win in five, failing to score in three of those matches and conceding 13 goals. Their model expected goals of 0.67 is the lowest figure in this matchup.
Chesham's scoring drought
Chesham United failed to score in three of their last five matches and managed just 4 goals across that span. The latest head-to-head, a 1-0 Chesham home win on 28 Mar 2026, shows they can edge this fixture, but the earlier 0-0 draw at Tonbridge and the 0-1 away win underline how tight recent meetings have been. Tonbridge's three clean sheets in five offer a realistic route to controlling a low-scoring game, consistent with the Under 2.5 lean. The evidence supports Tonbridge Angels win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Tonbridge Angels 1.39 – 0.67 Chesham United · expected total 2.06
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Tonbridge Angels
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Tonbridge Angels
Chesham United
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League South
Tonbridge Angels
Chesham United
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Tonbridge Angels at home · Chesham United away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Tonbridge Angels (home)
Chesham United (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Chesham United 1 win · 1 draw · Tonbridge Angels 2 wins · avg 0.8 goals · BTTS in 0 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | Chesham United | 1–0 | Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Tonbridge Angels | 0–0 | Chesham United | National League - South |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Chesham United | 0–1 | Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| 17 Dec 2024 | Tonbridge Angels | 1–0 | Chesham United | National League - South |
📈 Recent Form
Tonbridge Angels
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Salisbury | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Folkestone Invicta | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Chelmsford City | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 17/10 | Hemel Hempstead Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Maidenhead | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Torquay | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Ebbsfleet United | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Ramsgate | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Hemel Hempstead Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 08/09 | Maidstone Utd | Home | 0–1 | L |
Chesham United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Folkestone Invicta | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 27/10 | Farnham Town | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 24/10 | Dagenham & Redbridge | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Forest Green | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 17/10 | Forest Green | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Chelmsford City | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 03/10 | Real Bedford | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 26/09 | Maidenhead | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ware | Home | 7–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Horsham | Away | 4–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: National League South
Tonbridge Angels #6 · 24 pts · Chesham United #21 · 11 pts
Tonbridge Angels
Chesham United
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Tonbridge Angels
Chesham United
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws