Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 5 • Saunders Transport Community Stadium • ⛅ 8.6°C, 17 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.62 (67.9%, Model EV +10.0%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | William Hill1.62 | 56% | -9.3% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.22 | 78.1% | -4.7% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.62 | 67.9% · No 32.1% | +10% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.53 | 64.1% · Under 35.9% | -1.9% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Bet3658.50 | 8.9% | -24.4% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Farnborough · Home
Farnborough have won 2 of their last 5 but were beaten 0-5 at home by Horsham in their most recent match, and they failed to score in 3 of those 5 games. Their model expected goals of 1.54 is modest against an Ebbsfleet side scoring freely.
Ebbsfleet United · Away
Ebbsfleet United have scored 15 goals across their last 5 matches, including a 6-1 win over Weston-super-Mare and a 4-0 win over Maidenhead. Their only defeat in that run was a 0-3 loss at Truro City, and their model expected goals of 1.91 is the higher figure here.
Ebbsfleet edge a high-scoring contest
The latest head-to-head, on 28 Feb 2026, finished 2-2, and the two meetings before it also ended level at 1-1 and 2-2. That shared history points to a close game, yet Ebbsfleet's recent scoring output of 15 goals in 5 matches stands out against Farnborough's 4 goals in 5 and a 0-5 home loss to Horsham. The model's correct-score pick of 1-2 fits a competitive match rather than a one-sided one. The evidence supports Ebbsfleet United win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 10:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Farnborough 1.54 – 1.91 Ebbsfleet United · expected total 3.45
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Farnborough
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Farnborough
Ebbsfleet United
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League South
Farnborough
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Ebbsfleet United
Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Farnborough at home · Ebbsfleet United away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Farnborough (home)
Ebbsfleet United (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ebbsfleet United 1 win · 3 draws · Farnborough 0 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 4 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Ebbsfleet United | 2–2 | Farnborough | National League - South |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Farnborough | 1–1 | Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| 28 Feb 2023 | Farnborough | 2–2 | Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Ebbsfleet United | 4–2 | Farnborough | National League - South |
📈 Recent Form
Farnborough
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Horsham | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 28/10 | Weston-super-Mare | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Folkestone Invicta | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Dagenham & Redbridge | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Billericay Town | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 26/09 | Walton & Hersham | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 22/09 | Uxbridge | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Uxbridge | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Dover | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 08/09 | Hampton & Richmond | Away | 0–2 | L |
Ebbsfleet United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Truro City | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Maidstone Utd | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Maidenhead | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Horsham | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Weston-super-Mare | Home | 6–1 | W |
| 13/10 | AFC Totton | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Hampton & Richmond | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Folkestone Invicta | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Sholing | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Slough Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: National League South
Farnborough #16 · 17 pts · Ebbsfleet United #3 · 28 pts
Farnborough
Ebbsfleet United
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Farnborough
Ebbsfleet United
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws