Predictions → England National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone Utd

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • National League South - 16 • 🌦 7.3°C, 5 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available51.7% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available78.5% —
BTTS No Current price not available47.7% · Yes 52.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available50.4% · Over 49.6% —
Correct Score 0-1 Current price not available10.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Hemel Hempstead Town · Home

Hemel Hempstead Town have taken only two points from their last five matches, failing to score in three of them. Their most recent home outing ended in a 1-3 defeat to AFC Totton.

Maidstone Utd · Away

Maidstone Utd have won three of their last five, scoring twice in each of those victories. Their latest result was a 2-1 home win over Slough Town.

Maidstone edge low-scoring H2H

The latest head-to-head is the clearest guide: Maidstone Utd won 0-1 at home on 24 Jan 2026, and the two prior meetings produced 1-1 and 0-0. That pattern of tight, low-scoring contests fits a model expected goals line of 1 for Hemel Hempstead Town against 1.66 for Maidstone Utd. Hemel have failed to score in three of their last five and drew 0-0 at Dagenham & Redbridge, while Maidstone scored in all five recent matches. The evidence supports Maidstone Utd win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.00 – 1.66 Maidstone Utd · expected total 2.66

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Hemel Hempstead Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season6
Elo strength rating1522

Maidstone Utd

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1614
Hemel Hempstead TownMaidstone Utd
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
6
5
Elo strength rating
1522
1614

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Hemel Hempstead Town

Winless 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Maidstone Utd

BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Maidstone Utd

Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Hemel Hempstead Town at home · Maidstone Utd away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Hemel Hempstead Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–3L
D 3
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Maidstone Utd (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–1L
W 5
D 1
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Hemel Hempstead Town (home)Maidstone Utd (away)
D 3
L 3
W 5
D 1
L 1
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.00
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–1
10.49%
0–2
9.69%
1–2
9.66%
0–3
5.37%
1–3
5.35%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Hemel Hempstead Town 1 win · 4 draws · Maidstone Utd 4 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 5 of 9

1
4
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
24 Jan 2026 Maidstone Utd 0–1 Hemel Hempstead Town National League - South
09 Aug 2025 Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Maidstone Utd National League - South
15 Feb 2025 Hemel Hempstead Town 0–0 Maidstone Utd National League - South
26 Oct 2024 Maidstone Utd 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town National League - South
10 Feb 2024 Maidstone Utd 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town National League - South
26 Aug 2023 Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Maidstone Utd National League - South
23 Apr 2022 Hemel Hempstead Town 0–4 Maidstone Utd National League - South
14 Aug 2021 Maidstone Utd 4–2 Hemel Hempstead Town National League - South
17 Oct 2020 Maidstone Utd 4–1 Hemel Hempstead Town National League - South

📈 Recent Form

Hemel Hempstead Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Billericay Town Away 0–5 L
27/10 Dorking Wanderers Away 3–3 D
24/10 AFC Totton Home 1–3 L
17/10 Tonbridge Angels Away 0–1 L
10/10 Dagenham & Redbridge Away 0–0 D
26/09 Slough Town Away 2–0 W
22/09 Wingate & Finchley Away 1–2 L
19/09 Wingate & Finchley Home 1–1 D
12/09 Tonbridge Angels Home 1–1 D
08/09 Ebbsfleet United Away 0–0 D

Maidstone Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Slough Town Home 2–1 W
27/10 Ebbsfleet United Home 1–3 L
24/10 Torquay Away 1–1 D
17/10 Maidenhead Home 2–1 W
10/10 Horsham Away 2–1 W
26/09 Truro City Home 1–2 L
22/09 Cray Wanderers Home 0–2 L
19/09 Cray Wanderers Away 1–1 D
12/09 Braintree Away 1–2 L
08/09 Tonbridge Angels Away 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town #20 · 15 pts ·  Maidstone Utd #2 · 29 pts

Hemel Hempstead Town

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–6D–6L
W 3
D 6
L 6
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score6
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)3/1

Maidstone Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–2D–4L
W 9
D 2
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
Hemel Hempstead TownMaidstone Utd
W 3
D 6
L 6
W 9
D 2
L 4
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.20
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
6
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/1
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Hemel Hempstead Town

2
0-15
1
6
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
1
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Maidstone Utd

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
31-45
5
6
46-60
6
3
61-75
3
5
76-90
8
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws