Predictions → England National League

Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • Silverlake Stadium • ☀️ 31.2°C, 12 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available44.3% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available78.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available76.5% · No 23.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available77.7% · Under 22.3% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available7.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Eastleigh · Home

Eastleigh have scored in four of their last five matches, including 4-2 and 3-2 home wins, though they failed to score in the other two away defeats. Their model expected goals of 2.2 for this fixture reflects that home attacking output.

AFC Fylde · Away

AFC Fylde won four of their last five, scoring 13 goals, but the one blemish was a 0-4 away defeat at Boreham Wood. Their model expected goals of 1.92 suggests they will contribute to an open contest.

Eastleigh's Home Edge in High-Scoring H2Hs

The latest head-to-head finished 2-2 at AFC Fylde, while Eastleigh's home meeting with Fylde ended 4-2. Eastleigh have scored 8 goals across their last five matches but kept no clean sheets, and Fylde have scored 13 in five with two clean sheets. Both teams scoring is realistic given those records, and the 2-1 correct-score pick fits a match where Eastleigh's home scoring can edge a close contest. The evidence supports Eastleigh win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Eastleigh 2.20 – 1.92 AFC Fylde · expected total 4.12

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Eastleigh

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1384

AFC Fylde

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1494
EastleighAFC Fylde
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.60
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1384
1494

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Eastleigh

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

AFC Fylde

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Eastleigh at home · AFC Fylde away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Eastleigh (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–1L
W 4
D 3
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

AFC Fylde (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–3L
W 5
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Eastleigh (home)AFC Fylde (away)
W 4
D 3
L 1
W 5
L 3
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.80
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
7.63%
3–1
5.59%
3–2
5.37%
2–0
3.97%
4–1
3.08%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

AFC Fylde 3 wins · 5 draws · Eastleigh 2 wins · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 9 of 10

3
5
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
14 Dec 2024 AFC Fylde 2–2 Eastleigh National League
17 Aug 2024 Eastleigh 4–2 AFC Fylde National League
10 Feb 2024 Eastleigh 1–2 AFC Fylde National League
16 Sep 2023 AFC Fylde 1–2 Eastleigh National League
11 Feb 2020 Eastleigh 2–2 AFC Fylde National League
21 Sep 2019 AFC Fylde 3–1 Eastleigh National League
06 Apr 2019 AFC Fylde 4–2 Eastleigh National League
08 Sep 2018 Eastleigh 0–0 AFC Fylde National League
03 Feb 2018 AFC Fylde 2–2 Eastleigh National League
16 Sep 2017 Eastleigh 2–2 AFC Fylde National League

📈 Recent Form

Eastleigh

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Barrow Away 1–1 D
28/10 Forest Green Away 0–2 L
24/10 Boston United Home 4–2 W
17/10 Brentwood Town Home 3–2 W
10/10 AFC Hornchurch Away 0–2 L
03/10 Woking Home 1–3 L
30/09 Southend Home 1–1 D
26/09 Harrogate Town Away 1–4 L
19/09 Carlisle Home 1–0 W
15/09 Sutton Utd Away 1–2 L

AFC Fylde

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 AFC Hornchurch Home 3–1 W
27/10 Hartlepool Home 3–1 W
24/10 Boreham Wood Away 0–4 L
17/10 Atherton Collieries Home 5–0 W
10/10 Scunthorpe Home 2–0 W
03/10 Southend Away 1–3 L
29/09 Carlisle Home 0–2 L
26/09 Boston United Away 1–0 W
19/09 Altrincham Home 1–2 L
15/09 Harrogate Town Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: National League

Eastleigh #17 · 19 pts ·  AFC Fylde #4 · 29 pts

Eastleigh

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–7L
W 5
D 4
L 7
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards24
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

AFC Fylde

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–2D–5L
W 9
D 2
L 5
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards26
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
EastleighAFC Fylde
W 5
D 4
L 7
W 9
D 2
L 5
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.50
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
24
26
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Eastleigh

2
0-15
2
6
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
5
61-75
1
7
76-90
6
scored conceded

AFC Fylde

5
0-15
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
8
3
46-60
5
1
61-75
7
8
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws