AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • Hornchurch Stadium • ☁️ 7.6°C, 13 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 53.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 79% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 46.2% · Yes 53.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 48.1% · Over 51.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 9.9% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: AFC Hornchurch 53.1% · Draw 25.9% · Tamworth 21.0%. Selected outcome: AFC Hornchurch win.
Goals
Model expected goals: AFC Hornchurch 1.74, Tamworth 1.02, expected total 2.76.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
AFC Hornchurch: L-L-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Tamworth: L-W-L-L-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
AFC Hornchurch
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
AFC Hornchurch
Tamworth
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
AFC Hornchurch at home · Tamworth away, the split that matters for this fixture.
AFC Hornchurch (home)
Tamworth (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
AFC Hornchurch
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | AFC Fylde | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Yeovil Town | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Hartlepool | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Uxbridge | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Eastleigh | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Harrogate Town | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 29/09 | Aldershot Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Altrincham | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Scunthorpe | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Worthing | Away | 0–1 | L |
Tamworth
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Woking | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | Scunthorpe | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Carlisle | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Barrow | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 06/10 | Leeds United U21 | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Hartlepool | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 30/09 | Sutton Utd | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Aldershot Town | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 19/09 | Wealdstone | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 15/09 | Southend | Away | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: National League
AFC Hornchurch #15 · 21 pts · Tamworth #20 · 17 pts
AFC Hornchurch
Tamworth
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
AFC Hornchurch
Tamworth
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws