Carlisle vs Boston United
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • Brunton Park • ☀️ 6.1°C, 6 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 67.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 84.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 82.2% · No 17.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 90% · Under 10% | — |
| Correct Score | 3-1 | Current price not available | 6.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Carlisle · Home
Carlisle have won four of their last five, scoring 11 goals across that run, including a 4-2 win at Altrincham and a 3-0 home win over Harrogate Town. Their only dropped points in that sequence came in a 0-0 draw with Kidderminster Harriers.
Boston United · Away
Boston United have scored in every one of their last five matches but have lost three of them, conceding 15 goals in the process. Their two recent wins both finished 2-1 at home, against Scunthorpe and Gateshead.
Carlisle's H2H scoring edge
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Carlisle beat Boston United 6-2 on 21 Mar 2026, and the two earlier meetings produced 5-2 and 1-2. Boston United have scored in all five recent matches but conceded 15 goals in that span, with no clean sheets. Carlisle's model expected goals of 3.57 sit well above Boston United's 1.86, supporting a home win rather than a repeat of the 0-0 draw with Kidderminster Harriers. The evidence supports Carlisle win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Carlisle 3.57 – 1.86 Boston United · expected total 5.43
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Carlisle
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Carlisle
Boston United
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League
Carlisle
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Boston United
Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Carlisle at home · Boston United away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Carlisle (home)
Boston United (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Boston United 0 wins · 0 draws · Carlisle 3 wins · avg 6 goals · BTTS in 3 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Carlisle | 6–2 | Boston United | National League |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Boston United | 1–2 | Carlisle | National League |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Carlisle | 5–2 | Boston United | FA Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Carlisle
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Altrincham | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 28/10 | Harrogate Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Solihull Moors | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Tamworth | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Kidderminster Harriers | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 03/10 | Aldershot Town | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 29/09 | AFC Fylde | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Woking | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 19/09 | Eastleigh | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 15/09 | Forest Green | Home | 1–1 | D |
Boston United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Scunthorpe | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Gateshead | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Eastleigh | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Scunthorpe | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 13/10 | Southampton U21 | Home | 5–6 | L |
| 10/10 | Southend | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Yeovil Town | Away | 0–6 | L |
| 29/09 | FC Halifax Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | AFC Fylde | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 19/09 | Forest Green | Away | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: National League
Carlisle #8 · 26 pts · Boston United #19 · 18 pts
Carlisle
Boston United
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Carlisle
Boston United
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws