Hartlepool vs Wealdstone
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • Victoria Park • ☁️ 7.9°C, 8 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 38.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 71.2% · No 28.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 70.5% · Under 29.5% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Hartlepool · Home
Hartlepool have lost four of their last five, conceding 12 goals across that run, including a 3-4 defeat at Boreham Wood and a 0-2 home loss to Marine. Their model expected goals of 1.84 still points to a scoring threat here.
Wealdstone · Away
Wealdstone have won four of five, scoring 10 and keeping three clean sheets, with away wins at Aldershot Town and a 3-2 home success over Southend. Yet the latest head-to-head, on 31 Mar 2026, ended 7-0 to Wealdstone.
Hartlepool's Home H2H Edge
The two prior meetings before that rout both finished 1-1, showing Hartlepool have often matched Wealdstone across this head-to-head. Hartlepool's model expected goals of 1.84 sits close to Wealdstone's 1.81, so a tight, scoring contest is plausible rather than a repeat of the 7-0. Hartlepool's 2-1 home win over AFC Hornchurch is their one recent victory and shows they can edge a close home game. The evidence supports Hartlepool win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Hartlepool 1.84 – 1.81 Wealdstone · expected total 3.65
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Hartlepool
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Hartlepool at home · Wealdstone away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Hartlepool (home)
Wealdstone (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Hartlepool 3 wins · 4 draws · Wealdstone 1 win · avg 4.6 goals · BTTS in 7 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | Wealdstone | 7–0 | Hartlepool | National League |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Hartlepool | 1–1 | Wealdstone | National League |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Wealdstone | 1–1 | Hartlepool | National League |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Hartlepool | 1–1 | Wealdstone | National League |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Wealdstone | 4–4 | Hartlepool | National League |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Hartlepool | 2–1 | Wealdstone | National League |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Wealdstone | 2–7 | Hartlepool | National League |
| 09 Jan 2021 | Hartlepool | 3–1 | Wealdstone | National League |
📈 Recent Form
Hartlepool
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Boreham Wood | Away | 3–4 | L |
| 27/10 | AFC Fylde | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | AFC Hornchurch | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Marine | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Newcastle United U21 | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Forest Green | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 03/10 | Tamworth | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 29/09 | Harrogate Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Scunthorpe | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Worthing | Home | 1–3 | L |
Wealdstone
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Southend | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 27/10 | Solihull Moors | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Aldershot Town | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Nottingham Forest U21 | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Worthing | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Yeovil Town | Home | 0–6 | L |
| 03/10 | Barrow | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Forest Green | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Gateshead | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Tamworth | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: National League
Hartlepool #21 · 15 pts · Wealdstone #18 · 18 pts
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws