Predictions → England National League

Scunthorpe vs Worthing

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • Attis Arena • ☁️ 8.5°C, 15 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available26.5% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available65.4% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available61.7% · No 38.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available42% · Over 58% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available12.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Scunthorpe 34.6% · Draw 26.5% · Worthing 38.9%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Scunthorpe 1.46, Worthing 1.56, expected total 3.02.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Scunthorpe: L-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Worthing: L-D-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Scunthorpe

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1489

Worthing

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1436
ScunthorpeWorthing
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.00
1.60
Best league winning streak this season
4
3
Elo strength rating
1489
1436

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Scunthorpe

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Worthing

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: National League

Scunthorpe

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Worthing

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Scunthorpe at home · Worthing away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Scunthorpe (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Worthing (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–1L
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Scunthorpe (home)Worthing (away)
W 2
D 1
L 3
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.60
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
12.25%
2–2
6.34%
0–0
6%
3–3
1.6%
4–4
0.23%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Scunthorpe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Boston United Away 1–2 L
27/10 Tamworth Away 1–4 L
24/10 Woking Home 2–3 L
17/10 Boston United Away 3–1 W
10/10 AFC Fylde Away 0–2 L
29/09 Barrow Away 0–3 L
26/09 Hartlepool Home 4–1 W
19/09 AFC Hornchurch Away 0–1 L
16/09 Boreham Wood Home 1–2 L
12/09 Sutton Utd Away 2–0 W

Worthing

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Sutton Utd Home 0–3 L
27/10 Southend Home 3–3 D
24/10 Kidderminster Harriers Away 2–1 W
17/10 Wealdstone Away 0–3 L
13/10 Ipswich Town U21 Home 1–2 L
10/10 Solihull Moors Home 5–0 W
03/10 Gateshead Away 2–1 W
29/09 Yeovil Town Away 1–1 D
26/09 FC Halifax Town Home 2–1 W
19/09 Hartlepool Away 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: National League

Scunthorpe #23 · 10 pts ·  Worthing #6 · 28 pts

Scunthorpe

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–11L
W 3
D 1
L 11
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score5
Yellow cards31
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Worthing

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–4D–4L
W 8
D 4
L 4
Played16
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards23
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
ScunthorpeWorthing
W 3
D 1
L 11
W 8
D 4
L 4
Played
15
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.60
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
5
1
Yellow cards
31
23
Red cards
0
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Scunthorpe

5
0-15
5
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
5
46-60
4
6
61-75
4
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Worthing

0-15
3
6
16-30
6
5
31-45
5
3
46-60
5
4
61-75
6
7
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws