Predictions → England National League

Sutton Utd vs Solihull Moors

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • VBS Community Stadium • ☁️ 6.6°C, 15 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available54.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available77.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available63.2% · No 36.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available63.9% · Under 36.1% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Sutton Utd · Home

Sutton Utd have won four of their last five, scoring 10 goals and keeping three clean sheets, including a 3-0 win at Worthing. Their model expected goals of 2.04 for this fixture reflect that strong attacking output.

Solihull Moors · Away

Solihull Moors have also been productive, winning three of five and scoring 8 goals, but they conceded 7 and kept only one clean sheet. Their model expected goals of 1.26 suggest a smaller attacking share here.

Sutton's home edge over Solihull

The latest H2H was a 4-1 Solihull win at home in December 2025, yet the two earlier meetings produced a 0-0 and a 1-1, showing how tight this pairing can be. Sutton's current run of 10 goals in five matches and three clean sheets gives them the stronger platform, while Solihull's 7 goals conceded in five offers encouragement to the hosts. The model's 2-1 correct score fits a home side scoring freely but not shutting out a Solihull team that has found the net in every recent match. The evidence supports Sutton Utd win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Sutton Utd 2.04 – 1.26 Solihull Moors · expected total 3.30

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Sutton Utd

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1388

Solihull Moors

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1404
Sutton UtdSolihull Moors
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
2.50
Best league winning streak this season
4
3
Elo strength rating
1388
1404

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Sutton Utd

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Solihull Moors

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: National League

Sutton Utd

2nd best clean sheets (5, season)

Solihull Moors

Worst defence (2.50 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Sutton Utd at home · Solihull Moors away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Sutton Utd (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–3L
W 4
D 1
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3

Solihull Moors (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–4L
W 2
D 1
L 4
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)3.10
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Sutton Utd (home)Solihull Moors (away)
W 4
D 1
L 3
W 2
D 1
L 4
Played
8
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
3.10
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
3
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.73%
2–0
7.75%
3–1
6.63%
1–0
6.63%
3–0
5.28%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Solihull Moors 2 wins · 6 draws · Sutton Utd 2 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

2
6
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Dec 2025 Solihull Moors 4–1 Sutton Utd National League
16 Aug 2025 Sutton Utd 0–0 Solihull Moors National League
04 Mar 2025 Solihull Moors 1–1 Sutton Utd National League
26 Nov 2024 Sutton Utd 1–0 Solihull Moors National League
05 Apr 2021 Solihull Moors 0–0 Sutton Utd National League
05 Dec 2020 Sutton Utd 4–1 Solihull Moors National League
25 Jan 2020 Sutton Utd 0–0 Solihull Moors National League
08 Oct 2019 Solihull Moors 2–0 Sutton Utd National League
08 Dec 2018 Sutton Utd 2–2 Solihull Moors National League
18 Aug 2018 Solihull Moors 2–2 Sutton Utd National League

📈 Recent Form

Sutton Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Worthing Away 3–0 W
28/10 Aldershot Town Home 2–0 W
24/10 Harrogate Town Away 1–3 L
17/10 Truro City Home 1–0 W
13/10 West Bromwich Albion U21 Home 3–2 W
09/10 Boreham Wood Home 0–2 L
03/10 Kidderminster Harriers Away 1–1 D
30/09 Tamworth Away 0–2 L
26/09 Forest Green Home 3–3 D
19/09 FC Halifax Town Away 1–1 D

Solihull Moors

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Kidderminster Harriers Home 2–1 W
27/10 Wealdstone Away 3–2 W
24/10 Carlisle Home 1–2 L
17/10 Kidderminster Harriers Away 1–2 L
13/10 Everton U21 Home 1–0 W
10/10 Worthing Away 0–5 L
06/10 Newcastle United U21 Home 2–1 W
03/10 FC Halifax Town Home 0–2 L
29/09 Woking Away 4–2 W
26/09 Boreham Wood Home 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: National League

Sutton Utd #11 · 24 pts ·  Solihull Moors #22 · 13 pts

Sutton Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–3D–6L
W 7
D 3
L 6
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets5
Failed to score5
Yellow cards37
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Solihull Moors

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–11L
W 4
D 1
L 11
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards29
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2
Sutton UtdSolihull Moors
W 7
D 3
L 6
W 4
D 1
L 11
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
2.50
Clean sheets
5
1
Failed to score
5
4
Yellow cards
37
29
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
1/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Sutton Utd

3
0-15
3
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
7
scored conceded

Solihull Moors

2
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
8
31-45
3
8
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
14
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws