Predictions → England WSL Cup

Birmingham City W vs Sunderland W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Wed, 11 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group Stage • ☀️ 6.3°C, 10 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available50% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available75.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available63.2% · No 36.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available62.2% · Under 37.8% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Birmingham City W 50.0% · Draw 24.5% · Sunderland W 25.5%. Selected outcome: Birmingham City W win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Birmingham City W 1.90, Sunderland W 1.32, expected total 3.22.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Birmingham City W: W-W-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Sunderland W: L-W-W-W-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Birmingham City W 1–0 Sunderland W, 01 Apr 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Birmingham City W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.83
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.79
Elo strength rating1393

Sunderland W

Form (last 5)
WLWWW
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Elo strength rating1380
Birmingham City WSunderland W
Goals scored (season avg)
2.30
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.00
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
1
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.83
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.79
—
Elo strength rating
1393
1380

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Birmingham City W

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Sunderland W

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Birmingham City W at home · Sunderland W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Birmingham City W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)4.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Sunderland W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–1L
W 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Birmingham City W (home)Sunderland W (away)
L 1
W 1
L 1
Played
1
2
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
4.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.57%
2–0
7.28%
1–0
6.64%
3–1
6.07%
3–0
4.62%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Birmingham City W 6 wins · 2 draws · Sunderland W 1 win · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 3 of 9

6
2
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Apr 2026 Birmingham City W 1–0 Sunderland W Women's Championship
14 Sep 2025 Sunderland W 1–1 Birmingham City W Women's Championship
02 Feb 2025 Sunderland W 0–1 Birmingham City W Women's Championship
08 Sep 2024 Birmingham City W 5–0 Sunderland W Women's Championship
17 Dec 2023 Sunderland W 0–3 Birmingham City W Women's Championship
08 Oct 2023 Birmingham City W 1–1 Sunderland W Women's Championship
22 Jan 2023 Birmingham City W 1–3 Sunderland W Women's Championship
27 Aug 2022 Sunderland W 0–4 Birmingham City W Women's Championship
16 Feb 2020 Sunderland W 0–1 Birmingham City W FA Women's Cup

📈 Recent Form

Birmingham City W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Tottenham Hotspur W Home 1–4 L
28/10 Aston Villa W Away 1–1 D
25/10 Charlton Athletic W Home 1–0 W
21/10 Durham W Away 5–0 W
17/10 Arsenal W Away 1–1 D
04/10 Everton W Away 1–2 L
30/09 Liverpool W Home 3–4 L
27/09 Crystal Palace W Home 3–3 D
23/09 Everton W Away 0–2 L
19/09 Chelsea W Away 0–2 L

Sunderland W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Sheffield United W Home 1–0 W
25/10 Ipswich Town W Away 1–3 L
18/10 Newcastle United W Away 1–0 W
04/10 Leicester City FC W Home 3–1 W
27/09 Watford W Away 2–1 W
23/09 Liverpool W Away 2–4 L
20/09 Southampton W Home 0–0 D
13/09 Burnley W Away 2–1 W
06/09 Bristol City W Home 4–1 W
02/05 Ipswich Town W Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: WSL Cup

Birmingham City W

Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.83
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.79
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Sunderland W

Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Birmingham City WSunderland W
Played
4
2
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
2.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.83
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.79
—
Corners for (avg)
4.40
—
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Birmingham City W

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Sunderland W

0-15
1
16-30
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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