Nancy vs Sochaux
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Stade Marcel Picot • ⛅ 4°C, 3 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Dafabet1.89 | 53.9% | +1.9% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 79.7% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 55.4% · Yes 44.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.9% · Over 44.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 13.5% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.2 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 51.9% · Over 48.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Nancy · Home
Nancy have won four of their last five, including 1-0 home wins over Laval and Guingamp, and scored nine goals across that run. Their latest meeting with Sochaux also finished 1-0 in their favour, on 14 Feb 2025.
Sochaux · Away
Sochaux have won just one of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet in any of them, conceding nine goals. They did win 4-1 at home in the April 2024 head-to-head, showing they can score in this fixture.
Nancy's narrow-win habit
Nancy's recent record is built on single-goal wins: 1-0 over Laval, 1-0 over Guingamp and 2-1 at Annecy, with only the 4-3 at Rodez breaking that pattern. The latest head-to-head, a 1-0 Nancy home win on 14 Feb 2025, fits the same low-margin shape, and their recent xG of 1.83 against a Sochaux model figure of 0.77 points the same way. Sochaux have conceded in every one of their last five and failed to keep a clean sheet, so a single Nancy goal can decide it. The evidence supports Nancy win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Nancy 1.68 – 0.77 Sochaux · expected total 2.44
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Nancy
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Nancy
Sochaux
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 2
Nancy
Sochaux
Rank among 18 Ligue 2 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Nancy at home · Sochaux away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Nancy (home)
Sochaux (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Nancy 2 wins · 5 draws · Sochaux 3 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2025 | Nancy | 1–0 | Sochaux | Ligue 3 |
| 13 Sep 2024 | Sochaux | 2–3 | Nancy | Ligue 3 |
| 08 Apr 2024 | Sochaux | 4–1 | Nancy | Ligue 3 |
| 03 Nov 2023 | Nancy | 1–1 | Sochaux | Ligue 3 |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Sochaux | 1–0 | Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Nancy | 0–0 | Sochaux | Ligue 2 |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Nancy | 0–0 | Sochaux | Ligue 2 |
| 20 Jan 2021 | Nancy | 0–1 | Sochaux | Coupe de France |
| 05 Dec 2020 | Sochaux | 1–1 | Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| 04 Feb 2020 | Nancy | 1–1 | Sochaux | Ligue 2 |
📈 Recent Form
Nancy
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Laval | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/10 | Annecy | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 09/10 | Guingamp | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 02/10 | FC Saarbrücken | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/09 | Rodez | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 11/09 | Reims | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 07/09 | Nantes | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 28/08 | Dunkerque | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 21/08 | PAU | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 14/08 | Montpellier | Home | 0–1 | L |
Sochaux
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Annecy | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Metz | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 09/10 | Boulogne | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 02/10 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 18/09 | Laval | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Nantes | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/09 | PAU | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 28/08 | Clermont Foot | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 21/08 | Guingamp | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 14/08 | RED Star FC 93 | Away | 0–0 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 2
Nancy #4 · 19 pts · Sochaux #13 · 11 pts
Nancy
Sochaux
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Nancy
Sochaux
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Ligue 2 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws