Torino vs Lecce
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Olimpico di Torino • 🌤 13.3°C, 4 km/h mostly clear
Snapshotted at publish: No at 1.85 (57.5%, Model EV +6.4%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.01 → 1.88 ▼6% | 1xBet1.88 | 54.1% | +1.7% |
| Double Chance | 1X | 1xBet1.24 | 80.2% | -0.6% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill1.95 | 57.5% · Yes 42.5% | +12.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | SBO1.89 | 55% · Over 45% | +4% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Betano6.70 | 14.5% | -2.9% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.2 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 52.1% · Over 47.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Torino · Home
Torino have won three of their last five, including a 3-0 at Parma and a 2-1 home win over Udinese, though they failed to score in the 0-2 loss at Frosinone. Their recent xG for of 1.5 matches a model expected goals of 1.5 for this fixture.
Lecce · Away
Lecce have lost four of five, conceding 11 goals, and their recent xG for of 0.87 sits well below a model expected goals of 0.76 here. Their only win in that run was a 3-0 at Udinese.
Torino edge low-scoring H2H
The latest H2H was a 1-0 Torino win, and the two prior meetings both finished 2-1 or 1-0, so this matchup has stayed tight. Torino's 1-0 correct-score pick fits that pattern, and the No on BTTS at 57.5% supports a single-goal margin. Lecce's 1-5 loss at Frosinone shows they can be opened up, while Torino's 1.5 recent xG for gives them the edge. The evidence supports Torino win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Torino 1.50 – 0.76 Lecce · expected total 2.26
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Torino
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Torino
Lecce
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
Torino
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Lecce
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Torino at home · Lecce away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Torino (home)
Lecce (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Lecce 3 wins · 1 draw · Torino 5 wins · avg 1.7 goals · BTTS in 1 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 2026 | Torino | 1–0 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Lecce | 2–1 | Torino | Serie A |
| 18 May 2025 | Lecce | 1–0 | Torino | Serie A |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Torino | 0–0 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 16 Feb 2024 | Torino | 2–0 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Lecce | 0–1 | Torino | Serie A |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Lecce | 0–2 | Torino | Serie A |
| 05 Sep 2022 | Torino | 1–0 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 02 Feb 2020 | Lecce | 4–0 | Torino | Serie A |
📈 Recent Form
Torino
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Frosinone | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Como | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 23/10 | Monza | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 19/10 | Parma | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 12/10 | Udinese | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Bologna | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 14/09 | AS Roma | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Fiorentina | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 01/09 | Monza | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 29/08 | Sassuolo | Away | 1–2 | L |
Lecce
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Genoa | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 29/10 | Frosinone | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 25/10 | Juventus | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Udinese | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Bologna | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | AC Milan | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Monza | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 07/09 | Cagliari | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 31/08 | AS Roma | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 23/08 | Venezia | Away | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
Torino #10 · 13 pts · Lecce #14 · 9 pts
Torino
Lecce
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Torino
Lecce
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Torino
- ❌ F. Anjorin: Hip Injury
- ❌ E. Comert: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ C. Biraghi: Illness
- ❌ F. Israel: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ C. Casadei: Rest
- ❌ P. Pellegri: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ C. Adams: Muscle Injury
- ❌ N. Fortini: Thigh Injury
- ❌ E. Ilkhan: Muscle Injury
- ❌ R. Rodriguez: Thigh Injury
- ❌ R. Mandragora: Muscle Injury
- ❓ A. Cacciamani (doubtful): Shoulder Injury
Lecce
- ❌ M. Berisha: Thigh Injury
- ❌ W. Geubbels: Sprained Ankle
- ❌ Tiago Gabriel: Injury
- ❌ N. Stulic: Muscle Injury
- ❌ I. Ilic: Thigh Injury
- ❌ L. Coulibaly: Thigh Injury
- ❌ K. Gaspar: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ S. Pierotti: Ankle Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): L. Banda, O. Gandelman; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws