Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone B

Forli vs Gubbio

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone B - 13 • Stadio Tullo Morgagni • ⛅ 11.5°C, 1 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available46.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available80.2% —
BTTS No Current price not available65.4% · Yes 34.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available72.3% · Over 27.7% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available17.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Forli · Home

Forli have taken only two points from their last five matches, with three defeats and three matches in which they failed to score. Their home form offers some resistance: the 0-0 draw with Pianese and the 1-1 draw with Livorno mean both home fixtures in that run avoided defeat.

Gubbio · Away

Gubbio have failed to score in all five of their recent matches, recording 0-0 draws with Vis Pesaro and Team Altamura but losing the other three. Their most recent meeting with Forli was a 2-0 Gubbio home win, though the two prior head-to-heads both finished 1-0 to the home side.

Gubbio's Scoring Drought

Gubbio have failed to score in five straight matches, so the 1-0 correct score and Under 2.5 lean are grounded in their recent output rather than speculation. Forli's own run includes three matches without a goal, and the last head-to-head at Forli finished 0-1 to Gubbio. The model gives Forli a 46.6% win probability and 80.2% for the 1X double chance, with a 1.17 expected-goals figure against Gubbio's 0.66. The evidence supports Forli win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Forli 1.17 – 0.66 Gubbio · expected total 1.83

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Forli

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1315

Gubbio

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1307
ForliGubbio
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.90
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
Elo strength rating
1315
1307

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Forli

Winless 8
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Gubbio

Winless 9
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
1/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone B

Forli

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Gubbio

2nd worst defence (1.90 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Forli at home · Gubbio away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Forli (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–0L
W 2
D 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Gubbio (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–4L
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score4
Forli (home)Gubbio (away)
W 2
D 3
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.80
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
17.46%
2–0
10.9%
2–1
7.24%
3–0
4.24%
3–1
2.81%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Forli 1 win · 0 draws · Gubbio 3 wins · avg 1.3 goals · BTTS in 0 of 4

1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Jan 2026 Gubbio 2–0 Forli Serie C - Girone B
13 Sep 2025 Forli 0–1 Gubbio Serie C - Girone B
25 Feb 2017 Forli 1–0 Gubbio Serie C
08 Oct 2016 Gubbio 1–0 Forli Serie C

📈 Recent Form

Forli

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Campobasso FC Away 0–2 L
25/10 Pianese Home 0–0 D
17/10 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Away 2–3 L
11/10 Livorno Home 1–1 D
03/10 Vado Away 0–1 L
27/09 Ostia Mare Away 1–1 D
19/09 Torres Home 1–1 D
16/09 Pineto Away 1–1 D
12/09 Vis Pesaro Home 2–1 W
05/09 Latina Away 0–2 L

Gubbio

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Vis Pesaro Home 0–0 D
27/10 Team Altamura Away 0–0 D
23/10 Pineto Away 0–1 L
18/10 Atalanta II Home 0–2 L
10/10 Spezia Away 0–2 L
03/10 Perugia Home 1–3 L
27/09 Ravenna Away 0–2 L
20/09 Ostia Mare Home 0–2 L
16/09 Pescara Away 1–1 D
12/09 Latina Home 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone B

Forli #15 · 12 pts ·  Gubbio #19 · 8 pts

Forli

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–6D–4L
W 2
D 6
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards16
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Gubbio

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–8L
W 2
D 2
L 8
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score6
Yellow cards26
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ForliGubbio
W 2
D 6
L 4
W 2
D 2
L 8
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.90
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
3
6
Yellow cards
16
26
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Forli

4
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
7
scored conceded

Gubbio

2
0-15
4
16-30
3
5
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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