Italy Serie C - Girone B Draw Football Predictions

Round 13 • 3 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I
Value bets in Serie C - Girone B: 1 bets · 0% win · profit $-6.10 (¼-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio →

Girone B, Round 13

Saturday, November 07

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LWLWL
Atalanta II Atalanta II vs Reggiana Reggiana
WLLW 27.3% Draw N/A — —
19:30 DWDWW
Vado Vado vs Ravenna Ravenna
WDWLW 27.7% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
19:30 LWD
Sambenedettese Sambenedettese vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Guidonia Montecelio 1937
DLWDW 36.4% Draw N/A — —

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie C - Girone B for Draws

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
50.0% 4/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
37.5% 3/8
🔢 Correct Score
12.5% 1/8
🛡️ Double Chance
87.5% 7/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
57.1% 4/7
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 50.0% 4/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 37.5% 3/8
🛡️ Double Chance 87.5% 7/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 46.7% 50.0% 6 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 66.6% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.6% 50.0% 6 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.4% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 48.9% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 64.4% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 11.8% 12.5% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.5% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 63.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.5% 100.0% 5 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 26.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Girone B, Round 12

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
31/10 19:30 DWDWW
Vado Vado vs Grosseto Grosseto
DWDWL 26.1% Draw ✅ N/A — 2 – 2 FT