Pianese vs Perugia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone B - 13 • Stadio Comunale • ☁️ 12.4°C, 10 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 41.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 71.9% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 55.3% · No 44.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 50.1% · Under 49.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Pianese · Home
Pianese are unbeaten across their last five matches, though four were draws and three of those ended 0-0, including home and away stalemates. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw at Latina, and they beat Ravenna 2-1 at home in this run.
Perugia · Away
Perugia have scored 10 goals across their last five, with a 5-1 win at Campobasso FC and a 3-1 win at Gubbio, but they also lost 1-2 at home to Pescara and 0-2 at home to Vado. They kept no clean sheets in those five matches.
Pianese edge recent H2H
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Pianese beat Perugia 2-1 on 12 Feb 2026, and Pianese also won the previous meeting 0-1 away, with the oldest of the three ending 1-1. Pianese's recent run of 1 win and 4 draws, with only 3 goals scored and 3 clean sheets, points to a tight contest rather than an open one. Perugia's 10 goals in five matches show they can score, yet their two defeats in that span came at home. The evidence supports Pianese win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Pianese 1.47 – 1.22 Perugia · expected total 2.68
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Pianese
Perugia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone B
Pianese
Perugia
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Pianese at home · Perugia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Pianese (home)
Perugia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Perugia 0 wins · 2 draws · Pianese 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | Pianese | 2–1 | Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Perugia | 0–1 | Pianese | Serie C - Girone B |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Perugia | 1–1 | Pianese | Serie C - Girone B |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Pianese | 3–3 | Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Pianese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Latina | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Forli | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 17/10 | Pineto | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Ostia Mare | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 04/10 | Ravenna | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Livorno | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 21/09 | Sambenedettese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Torres | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Grosseto | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Away | 0–1 | L |
Perugia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 23/10 | Pescara | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Campobasso FC | Away | 5–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Vado | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Gubbio | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Reggiana | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Grosseto | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 16/09 | Spezia | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Ravenna | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 06/09 | Pineto | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone B
Pianese #17 · 10 pts · Perugia #10 · 17 pts
Pianese
Perugia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Pianese
Perugia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws