Italy Serie C - Girone B Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Round 13 • 10 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Value bets in Serie C - Girone B: 1 bets · 0% win · profit $-6.10 (¼-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio →

Girone B, Round 13

Saturday, November 07

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LLLDD WWDWW 55.5% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LWLWL WLLW 45.4% Under 2.5 N/A — —
19:30 LDLDL DDLLL 72.3% Under 2.5 N/A — —
19:30 DWDWW WDWLW 47% Under 2.5 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
14:30 DWDWL DWWDW 65.9% Over 2.5 N/A — —
14:30 DWLWD DLDWW 65.2% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 WWWLL WLLDD 61.5% Under 2.5 N/A — —
19:30 LWD DLWDW 75% Under 2.5 N/A — —
19:30 DDDDW DLWLW 50.1% Over 2.5 N/A — —

Monday, November 09

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
22:30 LWWDL DLLLL 70.9% Under 2.5 N/A — —

How to Read the Prediction Table

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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
50.0% 4/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
37.5% 3/8
🔢 Correct Score
12.5% 1/8
🛡️ Double Chance
87.5% 7/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
57.1% 4/7
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 50.0% 4/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 37.5% 3/8
🛡️ Double Chance 87.5% 7/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 46.7% 50.0% 6 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 66.6% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.6% 50.0% 6 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.4% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 48.9% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 64.4% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 11.8% 12.5% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.5% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 63.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.5% 100.0% 5 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 26.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Girone B, Round 12

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 DLLWD WWWLL — No data N/A — 5 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LWWDL DDDDW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 19:30 ----- LDWDW — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 14:30 WLLDD LDLDL — No data N/A — 2 – 3 FT
02/11 16:30 DDLLL WWWWW — No data N/A — 3 – 3 FT
02/11 16:30 DWLWD LDWWL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 19:30 LWD DLWDW — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 19:30 WDLWL DLWLW — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
02/11 19:30 WDWLW DWWDD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
03/11 22:30 DLLLL LWDLD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
30/10 22:30 WLLW LWD — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
31/10 16:30 DWWDW DWLWD — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
31/10 19:30 DLWDW DLWLW 52.4% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
31/10 19:30 DWDWW DWDWL 40.1% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 2 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 DDLLL DLLLL 54.1% Under 2.5 ✅ @1.95Bet365 +5.5% 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWLW LWWDL 48.7% Under 2.5 ❌ @1.97Pinnacle -4.1% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 17:00 WWDWW LWLWL 45.3% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.01Pinnacle -8.9% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 19:30 WWWLL LDLDL 65.9% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.80Bet365 +18.6% 2 – 0 FT
01/11 19:30 DLDWW DDDDW 62.9% Under 2.5 ✅ @1.68Pinnacle +5.7% 1 – 1 FT
01/11 19:30 WLLDD LLLDD 52.8% Under 2.5 ✅ @2.14Pinnacle +13% 1 – 0 FT