Under 2.5 goals in Latina's last 9 matches in a row
Italy Serie C - Girone B Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions
Round 13 • 10 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone E
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Girone B, Round 13
Saturday, November 07
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | LLLDD | WWDWW | 55.5% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLWL | WLLW | 45.4% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 19:30 | LDLDL | DDLLL | 72.3% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 19:30 | DWDWW | WDWLW | 47% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | DWDWL | DWWDW | 65.9% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 14:30 | DWLWD | DLDWW | 65.2% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | WWWLL | WLLDD | 61.5% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 19:30 | LWD | DLWDW | 75% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 19:30 | DDDDW | DLWLW | 50.1% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — |
Monday, November 09
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | LWWDL | DLLLL | 70.9% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — |
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie C - Girone B for Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Forli's last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 10 matches
Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Vis Pesaro's last 10 matches
Spezia scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches
Ravenna scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches
Grosseto scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Pianese's last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 46.7% | 50.0% | 6 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 66.6% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 53.6% | 50.0% | 6 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 63.4% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 48.9% | 33.3% | 6 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 64.4% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 8 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.5% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 63.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 83.5% | 100.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 26.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Girone B, Round 12
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 16:30 | DLLWD | WWWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 5 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LWWDL | DDDDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 19:30 | ----- | LDWDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 14:30 | WLLDD | LDLDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 3 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | DDLLL | WWWWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 3 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | DWLWD | LDWWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 19:30 | LWD | DLWDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 19:30 | WDLWL | DLWLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 19:30 | WDWLW | DWWDD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 03/11 22:30 | DLLLL | LWDLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 30/10 22:30 | WLLW | LWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 31/10 16:30 | DWWDW | DWLWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 31/10 19:30 | DLWDW | DLWLW | 52.4% | Over 2.5 ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 31/10 19:30 | DWDWW | DWDWL | 40.1% | Under 2.5 ❌ | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DDLLL | DLLLL | 54.1% | Under 2.5 ✅ | @1.95Bet365 | +5.5% | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDWLW | LWWDL | 48.7% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.97Pinnacle | -4.1% | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 17:00 | WWDWW | LWLWL | 45.3% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @2.01Pinnacle | -8.9% | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 19:30 | WWWLL | LDLDL | 65.9% | Over 2.5 ❌ | @1.80Bet365 | +18.6% | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 19:30 | DLDWW | DDDDW | 62.9% | Under 2.5 ✅ | @1.68Pinnacle | +5.7% | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 19:30 | WLLDD | LLLDD | 52.8% | Under 2.5 ✅ | @2.14Pinnacle | +13% | 1 – 0 FT |