Pineto vs Vis Pesaro
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Girone B - 13 • Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani • ☀️ 17.1°C, 13 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 57.8% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 87.6% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 69.4% · Yes 30.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 70.9% · Over 29.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 20% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Pineto · Home
Pineto's recent home form is the clearest signal: they beat Gubbio 1-0 and Reggiana 2-0, keeping clean sheets in both. Across their last five matches they recorded three clean sheets while scoring only four goals, so the home side's edge is built on control rather than volume.
Vis Pesaro · Away
Vis Pesaro are without a win in five, with four defeats and only three goals scored against ten conceded. They failed to score in three of those five matches, including a 0-0 at Gubbio and a 0-1 loss at Latina.
Pineto's home clean sheets
The latest head-to-head is the telling detail: Pineto won 0-2 away at Vis Pesaro on 3 Jan 2026, while the two earlier meetings both finished 1-1. Pineto's model expected goals of 1.38 against Vis Pesaro's 0.5 points to a low-scoring home-controlled game, consistent with a 1-0 correct score. Vis Pesaro failed to score in three of their last five, and Pineto kept three clean sheets in the same span, so a narrow home win fits the evidence. The evidence supports Pineto win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Pineto 1.38 – 0.50 Vis Pesaro · expected total 1.88
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Pineto
Vis Pesaro
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone B
Pineto
Vis Pesaro
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Pineto at home · Vis Pesaro away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Pineto (home)
Vis Pesaro (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Pineto 1 win · 5 draws · Vis Pesaro 0 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 5 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan 2026 | Vis Pesaro | 0–2 | Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| 22 Aug 2025 | Pineto | 1–1 | Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Pineto | 1–1 | Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| 13 Oct 2024 | Vis Pesaro | 1–1 | Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| 05 Mar 2024 | Pineto | 1–1 | Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| 30 Oct 2023 | Vis Pesaro | 1–1 | Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Pineto
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ravenna | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 23/10 | Gubbio | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Reggiana | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Pianese | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 04/10 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Grosseto | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 20/09 | Campobasso FC | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 16/09 | Forli | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Sambenedettese | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Perugia | Away | 1–2 | L |
Vis Pesaro
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Gubbio | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 28/10 | Atalanta II | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Ravenna | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 18/10 | Latina | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Grosseto | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 21/09 | Spezia | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Reggiana | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 12/09 | Forli | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Ostia Mare | Home | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone B
Pineto #14 · 14 pts · Vis Pesaro #20 · 5 pts
Pineto
Vis Pesaro
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Pineto
Vis Pesaro
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws