Ostia Mare vs Spezia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone B - 13 • ☁️ 18.9°C, 8 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 55% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 82% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 53.5% · Yes 46.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.5% · Over 44.5% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | Current price not available | 12.8% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Ostia Mare 18.0% · Draw 27.0% · Spezia 55.0%. Selected outcome: Spezia win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Ostia Mare 0.83, Spezia 1.63, expected total 2.46.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Ostia Mare: L-L-D-D-D in their last five matches.
Spezia: W-D-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Ostia Mare
Spezia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone B
Ostia Mare
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Spezia
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ostia Mare at home · Spezia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Ostia Mare (home)
Spezia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Ostia Mare
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Livorno | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 23/10 | Vado | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Pescara | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Pianese | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 04/10 | Latina | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/09 | Forli | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Gubbio | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Ravenna | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Torres | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Vis Pesaro | Away | 2–1 | W |
Spezia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Atalanta II | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 28/10 | Livorno | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Latina | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Ravenna | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Gubbio | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Reggiana | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Pescara | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 21/09 | Vis Pesaro | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Perugia | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Livorno | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone B
Ostia Mare #18 · 9 pts · Spezia #1 · 32 pts
Ostia Mare
Spezia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ostia Mare
Spezia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws