Sambenedettese vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone B - 13 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme • ☁️ 15.8°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 36.4% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 68.6% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 65.2% · Yes 34.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 75% · Over 25% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-0 | Current price not available | 19.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Sambenedettese · Home
Sambenedettese have won only once in their last three, beating Livorno 2-1 at home before a 0-2 loss at Reggiana and a 2-2 draw at Vado. They failed to score in one of those three and have no clean sheet in the run.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · Away
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are unbeaten in four of five, with home wins over Forli 3-2 and Pineto 1-0 plus draws against Perugia 1-1 and at Pescara 1-1. Their one defeat was a 0-2 loss at Torres.
Both H2H meetings ended 0-1
The latest head-to-head, on 8 Mar 2026, finished 0-1 to Sambenedettese away, and the earlier meeting on 2 Nov 2025 also ended 0-1. Both were single-goal games decided by one side, so a tight, low-scoring contest fits the history. The model gives Sambenedettese 0.86 expected goals and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0.87, closely matched, with Under 2.5 at 75%. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Sambenedettese 0.86 – 0.87 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · expected total 1.73
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Sambenedettese
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sambenedettese
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone B
Sambenedettese
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sambenedettese at home · Guidonia Montecelio 1937 away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sambenedettese (home)
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1 win · 0 draws · Sambenedettese 1 win · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 0–1 | Sambenedettese | Serie C - Girone B |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Sambenedettese | 0–1 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Serie C - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Sambenedettese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Reggiana | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Livorno | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Vado | Away | 2–2 | D |
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Perugia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Torres | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Forli | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 12/10 | Pescara | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Pineto | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Vis Pesaro | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 21/09 | Livorno | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Latina | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Reggiana | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Pianese | Home | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone B
Sambenedettese #16 · 10 pts · Guidonia Montecelio 1937 #9 · 17 pts
Sambenedettese
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sambenedettese
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws