Gubbio vs Grosseto
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone B - 14 • Stadio Pietro Barbetti • ☀️ 7.1°C, 3 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 55.2% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 87.1% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 71.7% · Yes 28.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 74.6% · Over 25.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | Current price not available | 21.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Gubbio · Home
Gubbio have failed to score in all five of their recent matches, a run that includes 0-0 at home to Vis Pesaro and 0-2 away to Spezia. Their recent record reads 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses with 0 goals for and 5 against.
Grosseto · Away
Grosseto scored 12 goals across their last five, including 4-4 at Livorno and 3-2 at Vis Pesaro. Their only defeat in that span was 1-3 at home to Sambenedettese.
Gubbio's Scoring Drought
The clearest angle is Gubbio's blank run: five recent matches, zero goals, and a model expected goals figure of 0.48 for this fixture. Grosseto found the net in every one of their last five, though the latest head-to-head, 0-0 in January 2022, and the earlier 1-1 show these meetings have been tight. A single Grosseto goal could therefore be enough, which fits the 0-1 correct-score line and the Under 2.5 lean. The evidence supports Grosseto win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Gubbio 0.48 – 1.27 Grosseto · expected total 1.74
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Gubbio
Grosseto
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone B
Gubbio
Grosseto
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Gubbio at home · Grosseto away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Gubbio (home)
Grosseto (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Grosseto 0 wins · 2 draws · Gubbio 0 wins · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2022 | Gubbio | 0–0 | Grosseto | Serie C - Girone B |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Grosseto | 1–1 | Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Gubbio
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Vis Pesaro | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 27/10 | Team Altamura | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 23/10 | Pineto | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Atalanta II | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Spezia | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Perugia | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Ravenna | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Ostia Mare | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 16/09 | Pescara | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Latina | Home | 3–1 | W |
Grosseto
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Vado | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/10 | Reggiana | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 16/10 | Livorno | Away | 4–4 | D |
| 10/10 | Vis Pesaro | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 03/10 | Sambenedettese | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 26/09 | Pineto | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Perugia | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Campobasso FC | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Pianese | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 09/09 | Latina | Home | 1–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone B
Gubbio #19 · 8 pts · Grosseto #3 · 23 pts
Gubbio
Grosseto
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Gubbio
Grosseto
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws