Reggiana vs Livorno
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone B - 14 • ☀️ 11.4°C, 3 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 55.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 78.1% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 67.8% · No 32.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 70% · Under 30% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Reggiana · Home
Reggiana have won both home matches in their recent run, scoring 2-0 against Sambenedettese and 2-0 against Torres, while both defeats came away. That home-only scoring split gives the model expected goals of 2.24 a realistic base.
Livorno · Away
Livorno have not failed to score in any of their last five, netting 8 goals, but they have won just once and conceded 9. Their 4-4 draw with Grosseto shows they can trade goals without controlling a match.
Reggiana's home-only scoring split
Reggiana's four recent matches produced a clean split: 4 goals scored and none conceded at home, 4 conceded and none scored away. Livorno's latest head-to-head was a 3-1 win over Reggiana, but that came at Livorno, and the visitors arrive with 1 win from 5 and 9 goals against. Livorno's 4-4 draw with Grosseto fits a high-scoring, open game rather than a controlled away display. The evidence supports Reggiana win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Reggiana 2.24 – 1.39 Livorno · expected total 3.63
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Reggiana
Livorno
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone B
Reggiana
Livorno
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Reggiana at home · Livorno away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Reggiana (home)
Livorno (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Livorno 1 win · 0 draws · Reggiana 0 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | Livorno | 3–1 | Reggiana | Coppa Italia Serie C |
📈 Recent Form
Reggiana
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Sambenedettese | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Grosseto | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Pineto | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Torres | Home | 2–0 | W |
Livorno
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ostia Mare | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Spezia | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Sambenedettese | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 16/10 | Grosseto | Home | 4–4 | D |
| 11/10 | Forli | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Pescara | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Pianese | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 21/09 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Vado | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Spezia | Away | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone B
Reggiana #4 · 20 pts · Livorno #6 · 19 pts
Reggiana
Livorno
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Reggiana
Livorno
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws