Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone B

Vis Pesaro vs Pianese

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone B - 14 • Tonino Benelli • ☀️ 14.1°C, 7 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available34.8% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available68.2% —
BTTS No Current price not available61.8% · Yes 38.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available71.2% · Over 28.8% —
Correct Score 0-0 Current price not available16.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Vis Pesaro · Home

Vis Pesaro have taken just one point from their last five matches, with a 0-0 draw at Gubbio the only non-defeat. They failed to score in three of those five games and conceded 10 goals across the run.

Pianese · Away

Pianese are unbeaten in five, drawing four, and kept clean sheets in three of them. Their last three away matches produced 1-1 at Latina and 0-0 at both Forli and Ostia Mare.

Pianese's Run of Stalemates

Pianese's recent record is built on draws: four of their last five ended level, and three of those were 0-0. The latest head-to-head, on 31 Jan 2026, finished 1-2 to Vis Pesaro, while the earlier meeting at Vis Pesaro ended 0-0. Vis Pesaro have failed to score in three of their last five, and Pianese in three of theirs, so a low-scoring stalemate is realistic. The model's 0-0 correct score and Under 2.5 lean support that reading. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Vis Pesaro 0.95 – 0.92 Pianese · expected total 1.87

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Vis Pesaro

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.40
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1292

Pianese

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1353
Vis PesaroPianese
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.40
0.90
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
Elo strength rating
1292
1353

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Vis Pesaro

Winless 5
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Pianese

Unbeaten 5 Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone B

Vis Pesaro

Worst defence (2.40 conceded/game, season) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Pianese

Worst attack (0.50 goals/game, season) 3rd best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Vis Pesaro at home · Pianese away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Vis Pesaro (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–4L
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.70
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Pianese (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–4L
D 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Vis Pesaro (home)Pianese (away)
W 1
D 1
L 4
D 2
L 4
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.70
1.30
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
1
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–0
16.76%
1–1
14.82%
2–2
2.94%
3–3
0.29%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Pianese 1 win · 1 draw · Vis Pesaro 2 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 1 of 4

1
1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
31 Jan 2026 Pianese 1–2 Vis Pesaro Serie C - Girone B
20 Sep 2025 Vis Pesaro 0–0 Pianese Serie C - Girone B
22 Mar 2025 Vis Pesaro 2–0 Pianese Serie C - Girone B
10 Nov 2024 Pianese 2–0 Vis Pesaro Serie C - Girone B

📈 Recent Form

Vis Pesaro

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Gubbio Away 0–0 D
28/10 Atalanta II Away 1–2 L
24/10 Ravenna Home 0–4 L
18/10 Latina Away 0–1 L
10/10 Grosseto Home 2–3 L
27/09 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Home 2–1 W
21/09 Spezia Away 1–3 L
16/09 Reggiana Home 1–4 L
12/09 Forli Away 1–2 L
05/09 Ostia Mare Home 1–2 L

Pianese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Latina Away 1–1 D
25/10 Forli Away 0–0 D
17/10 Pineto Home 0–0 D
10/10 Ostia Mare Away 0–0 D
04/10 Ravenna Home 2–1 W
26/09 Livorno Away 2–3 L
21/09 Sambenedettese Home 1–1 D
16/09 Torres Away 1–2 L
12/09 Grosseto Home 0–0 D
05/09 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone B

Vis Pesaro #20 · 5 pts ·  Pianese #17 · 10 pts

Vis Pesaro

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–9L
W 1
D 2
L 9
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
Yellow cards29
Red cards4
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Pianese

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–7D–4L
W 1
D 7
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets5
Failed to score7
Yellow cards18
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Vis PesaroPianese
W 1
D 2
L 9
W 1
D 7
L 4
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.40
0.90
Clean sheets
0
5
Failed to score
3
7
Yellow cards
29
18
Red cards
4
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Vis Pesaro

7
0-15
5
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Pianese

1
0-15
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
61-75
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie C - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws