Ligorna vs Imperia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group A - 12 • ☀️ 22.5°C, 2 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 53.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 77.1% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 63.7% · No 36.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 64.2% · Under 35.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Ligorna · Home
Ligorna's recent form is solid: 3 wins in five, with three clean sheets and only three goals conceded. The home side also scored four at Gozzano, showing they can punish opponents on the road as well as at home.
Imperia · Away
Imperia have drawn two of their last five and conceded four at Borgosesia, though they did win 2-0 at home to Celle Varazze. Their latest H2H visit to Ligorna ended 0-2, a result that underlines their threat in this fixture.
Ligorna edge tight H2H
The head-to-head record is the most telling angle: Imperia won 0-2 at Ligorna, while the two earlier meetings finished 2-2 and 1-1, so this pairing has repeatedly produced tight, competitive games. Ligorna's five-match record of 3 wins, one draw and one loss, with three clean sheets, gives them the stronger recent base. Imperia have drawn two of five and lost once, so the margin between these sides is narrow but tilts toward the hosts. The evidence supports Ligorna win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Ligorna 2.04 – 1.28 Imperia · expected total 3.32
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Ligorna
Imperia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone A
Ligorna
Imperia
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ligorna at home · Imperia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Ligorna (home)
Imperia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Imperia 1 win · 3 draws · Ligorna 2 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 4 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Ligorna | 0–2 | Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Imperia | 2–2 | Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Ligorna | 1–1 | Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
| 25 Sep 2024 | Imperia | 1–3 | Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| 26 Mar 2022 | Imperia | 0–0 | Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| 07 Nov 2021 | Ligorna | 2–1 | Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
📈 Recent Form
Ligorna
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sestri Levante | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | Valenzana | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Bra | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Gozzano | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Saluzzo | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Chisola | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Celle Varazze | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Derthona | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Biellese | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 06/09 | Sanremese | Home | 2–2 | D |
Imperia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sanremese | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | Celle Varazze | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Borgosesia | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 11/10 | Biellese | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 04/10 | Lascaris | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 30/09 | Alessandria | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Fezzanese | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Asti | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 13/09 | Derthona | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Millesimo | Home | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone A
Ligorna #4 · 17 pts · Imperia #7 · 15 pts
Ligorna
Imperia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ligorna
Imperia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws