Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone F

Ancona vs Lanciano FC

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group F - 12 • Stadio del Conero • 🌦 16.3°C, 16 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available57.7% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available80.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available59.2% · No 40.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available60.7% · Under 39.3% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available10% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Ancona 57.7% · Draw 23.1% · Lanciano FC 19.2%. Selected outcome: Ancona win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Ancona 2.04, Lanciano FC 1.11, expected total 3.15.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Ancona: W-L-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Lanciano FC: D-L-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Ancona

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season7
Elo strength rating1703

Lanciano FC

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1347
AnconaLanciano FC
Goals scored (season avg)
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
1.70
Best league winning streak this season
7
2
Elo strength rating
1703
1347

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Ancona

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Lanciano FC

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone F

Ancona

3rd best attack (1.90 goals/game, season) 3rd best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Lanciano FC

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone F teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ancona at home · Lanciano FC away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Ancona (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Lanciano FC (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–3L
W 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Ancona (home)Lanciano FC (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 1
L 3
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.80
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.95%
2–0
8.97%
1–0
7.82%
3–1
6.77%
3–0
6.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Ancona

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Atletico Ascoli Home 1–0 W
28/10 Robur Siena Away 2–2 D
25/10 Vigor Senigallia Away 5–0 W
18/10 Fossombrone Home 2–3 L
11/10 Real Giulianova Away 2–0 W
04/10 Sporting Trestina Home 2–0 W
27/09 Angelana Away 1–1 D
20/09 L'Aquila Home 2–2 D
16/09 Maceratese Away 1–0 W
12/09 Montecchio Gallo Home 0–1 L

Lanciano FC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Teramo Away 0–2 L
25/10 Notaresco Home 0–0 D
18/10 Atletico Ascoli Away 1–5 L
11/10 Montecchio Gallo Home 3–1 W
04/10 Termoli Calcio Away 0–2 L
27/09 Recanatese Home 4–1 W
20/09 Fossombrone Away 4–2 W
16/09 Vigor Senigallia Home 1–2 L
12/09 Sporting Trestina Home 0–0 D
06/09 Foligno Calcio Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone F

Ancona #3 · 20 pts ·  Lanciano FC #12 · 11 pts

Ancona

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–2L
W 6
D 2
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Lanciano FC

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–5L
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
AnconaLanciano FC
W 6
D 2
L 2
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.70
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ancona

1
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Lanciano FC

2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
61-75
4
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone F predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws