Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone F

Maceratese vs Real Giulianova

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group F - 12 • ⛅ 15°C, 13 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available45.5% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available74.9% —
BTTS No Current price not available51% · Yes 49% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available56.6% · Over 43.4% —
Correct Score 0-1 Current price not available11.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Maceratese · Home

Maceratese have scored 9 goals across their last five matches but conceded 10, including a 2-5 loss at Notaresco and a 0-2 home defeat to Foligno Calcio. Their most recent outing was a 3-0 home win over Angelana.

Real Giulianova · Away

Real Giulianova won 1-0 at Foligno Calcio, the same opponent that beat Maceratese 2-0 at Maceratese, and also won 3-1 at Santegidiese. However, they lost 0-3 at Montecchio Gallo and failed to score in 2 of their last 5.

Giulianova edge the shared opponent

The shared opponent Foligno Calcio separates these records: Real Giulianova won 1-0 away there, while Maceratese lost 0-2 at home to the same side. The latest H2H, a 1-1 draw on 26 Apr 2026, shows Maceratese can hold Giulianova, and the earlier 2-1 Giulianova win came at home. Giulianova's model expected goals of 1.42 against Maceratese's 0.99 support a narrow away edge, consistent with the 0-1 correct score. The evidence supports Real Giulianova win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Maceratese 0.99 – 1.42 Real Giulianova · expected total 2.41

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Maceratese

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1436

Real Giulianova

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1539
MacerateseReal Giulianova
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1436
1539

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Maceratese

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Real Giulianova

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone F

Maceratese

Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Real Giulianova

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone F teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Maceratese at home · Real Giulianova away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Maceratese (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–3L
D 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3

Real Giulianova (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Maceratese (home)Real Giulianova (away)
D 2
L 3
W 2
L 2
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.40
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.30
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
3
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–1
11.44%
0–2
9.02%
1–2
8.97%
0–3
4.27%
1–3
4.25%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Maceratese 0 wins · 1 draw · Real Giulianova 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
26 Apr 2026 Maceratese 1–1 Real Giulianova Serie D - Girone F
14 Dec 2025 Real Giulianova 2–1 Maceratese Serie D - Girone F

📈 Recent Form

Maceratese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Angelana Home 3–0 W
25/10 Montecchio Gallo Home 1–1 D
18/10 Notaresco Away 2–5 L
11/10 Foligno Calcio Home 0–2 L
04/10 Recanatese Away 3–2 W
27/09 Santegidiese Home 1–1 D
20/09 Pietralunga Away 2–0 W
16/09 Ancona Home 0–1 L
13/09 Atletico Ascoli Away 1–2 L
06/09 Teramo Home 0–3 L

Real Giulianova

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Montecchio Gallo Away 0–3 L
25/10 Pietralunga Home 1–0 W
18/10 Foligno Calcio Away 1–0 W
11/10 Ancona Home 0–2 L
04/10 Santegidiese Away 3–1 W
27/09 Atletico Ascoli Home 4–2 W
20/09 Teramo Away 2–3 L
16/09 Termoli Calcio Home 0–0 D
13/09 Vigor Senigallia Away 0–1 L
06/09 Fossombrone Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone F

Maceratese #13 · 11 pts ·  Real Giulianova #10 · 13 pts

Maceratese

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–5L
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Real Giulianova

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–5L
W 4
D 1
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
MacerateseReal Giulianova
W 3
D 2
L 5
W 4
D 1
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
1.20
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
3
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Maceratese

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
6
76-90
2
scored conceded

Real Giulianova

0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone F predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws