Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group H - 12 • 🌦 16.7°C, 9 km/h, 0.3mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 52.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 77.2% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 67.2% · No 32.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 68.2% · Under 31.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Fidelis Andria · Home
Fidelis Andria have won four of their last five matches, including a 2-0 home win over Francavilla and a 3-1 away win at Nardò. Their only defeat in that run was a 0-1 home loss to Virtus Francavilla.
Nocerina · Away
Nocerina have lost four of their last five, failing to score in two of those games. Their sole win was a 1-0 away result at Melfi.
Andria's Home Edge Over Slumping Nocerina
The latest head-to-head is a warning: Nocerina won 0-2 at Fidelis Andria on 2 February 2025, and Nocerina also won 3-1 at home in October 2024. Yet Fidelis Andria's current run of four wins in five, with 8 goals scored and 3 conceded, contrasts with Nocerina's four defeats in five and only 3 goals scored. The model gives Fidelis Andria 2.12 expected goals against Nocerina's 1.41, supporting a home win despite that recent head-to-head result. The evidence supports Fidelis Andria win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Fidelis Andria 2.12 – 1.41 Nocerina · expected total 3.53
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Fidelis Andria
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Fidelis Andria
Nocerina
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Fidelis Andria at home · Nocerina away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Fidelis Andria (home)
Nocerina (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Fidelis Andria 1 win · 0 draws · Nocerina 2 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb 2025 | Fidelis Andria | 0–2 | Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Nocerina | 3–1 | Fidelis Andria | Serie D - Girone H |
| 24 Nov 2019 | Nocerina | 1–5 | Fidelis Andria | Serie D - Girone H |
📈 Recent Form
Fidelis Andria
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Francavilla | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Virtus Francavilla | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Nardò | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Virtus Francavilla | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Real Normanna | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Real Forio 2014 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Turris | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Gladiator | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Manfredonia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Brindisi | Away | 0–1 | L |
Nocerina
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Gravina | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Gladiator | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Martina Franca | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Brindisi | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | Melfi | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | USD Palmese | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Bisceglie | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Ischia | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Manfredonia | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 06/09 | Ebolitana | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone H
Fidelis Andria #7 · 16 pts · Nocerina #11 · 13 pts
Fidelis Andria
Nocerina
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Fidelis Andria
Nocerina
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone H predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws